Result
2:3
13/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 14
- Referee: Jesus F. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 10', Lottin A. 🟨,
- 24', Lottin A. ↓, Lucho Vega ↑,
- 32', 0 - 1, Rosas P. ⚽,
- 41', 1 - 1, Munoz J. ⚽, Lucho Vega (A),
- 45+3', 2 - 1, Munoz J. ⚽, Michel D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 49', Lucas Duarte ↓, Michel Costa ↑,
- 63', Pinto J. ↓, Jean-Marie M. ↑,
- 71', Ze Pedro 🟨,
- 72', 2 - 2, Rivas M. ⚽,
- 81', Baro M. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
- 81', van der Gaag J. ↓, Fernandez P. ↑,
- 81', Lucho Vega ↓, Santos J. ↑,
- 90+5', Jair da Silva 🟨,
- 90+9', 2 - 3, Rivas M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Leiria
40.4% | Draw
28.9% | Felgueiras
30.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leiria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Felgueiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Leiria - Felgueiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↑
(2.27) |
3.23 ↓
(3.37) |
3.05 ↑
(2.99) |
7.3%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Leiria - Felgueiras?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Leiria will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Felgueiras will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Leiria (votes: 1 - 50%). Felgueiras (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Leiria (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Leiria (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Felgueiras (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)).
- Leiria has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Felgueiras is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Felgueiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Leiria will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Leiria won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leiria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Leiria won against Felgueiras?
Leiria has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Felgueiras won against Leiria?
Felgueiras has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leiria - Felgueiras were as follows:
08.03.2025
Felgueiras
-
Leiria
2:2
11.10.2024
Leiria
-
Felgueiras
1:3
06.05.2023
Felgueiras
-
Leiria
0:2
16.04.2023
Leiria
-
Felgueiras
4:1
Latest results of Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 44:21 | 23 | 60 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 53:33 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Torreense | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 4 | Leiria | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 45:36 | 9 | 46 |
| 5 | Vizela | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 37:34 | 3 | 44 |
| 6 | Benfica B | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 41:35 | 6 | 41 |
| 7 | Sporting CP B | 29 | 13 | 2 | 14 | 41:30 | 11 | 41 |
| 8 | FC Porto B | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 41 |
| 9 | Feirense | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 41 |
| 10 | Chaves | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 31:29 | 2 | 39 |
| 11 | Lusitania FC | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 38 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 35:50 | -15 | 38 |
| 13 | Penafiel | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 28:30 | -2 | 35 |
| 14 | Felgueiras | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 34 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 32 |
| 16 | Pacos Ferreira | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 26:39 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 31:42 | -11 | 30 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 27:41 | -14 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
