Result
4:2
18/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 30
- Referee: Narciso A. (Por)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 10', Rofino V. G. 🟨,
- 20', Alloh T. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 0, Munoz J. ⚽, Jair da Silva (A),
- 33', Pires M. 🟨,
- 41', 2 - 0, Munoz J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+2', 2 - 1, Davo ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Alloh T. ↓, Pereira B. ↑,
- 46', Michel D. ↓, Lottin A. ↑,
- 53', 3 - 1, Munoz J. ⚽, Pires M. (A),
- 62', Anzai S. ↓, Ze Leite ↑,
- 62', Mere J. ↓, Santos A. ↑,
- 64', 4 - 1, Daniel Borges ⚽, Maga (A),
- 69', Baro M. 🟨,
- 73', Ze Leite 🟨,
- 74', Schutte R. ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
- 74', Davo ↓, Alcaina R. ↑,
- 81', Rofino V. G. ↓, Ze Pedro ↑,
- 81', Pires M. ↓, Lucho Vega ↑,
- 82', Baro M. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
- 88', Munoz J. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
- 90+2', Joao Bravim 🟨,
- 90+3', 4 - 2, Reko (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Leiria
57.3% | Draw
25.2% | Penafiel
17.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Leiria - Penafiel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(1.72) |
3.71 ↓
(3.71) |
5.4 ↑
(4.46) |
7.4%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Leiria - Penafiel?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Leiria will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Penafiel will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 13).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Leiria is considered a favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leiria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Leiria won against Penafiel?
Leiria has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Leiria?
Penafiel has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leiria - Penafiel were as follows:
05.12.2025
Penafiel
-
Leiria
1:0
02.03.2025
Leiria
-
Penafiel
1:0
06.10.2024
Penafiel
-
Leiria
1:0
25.04.2024
Leiria
-
Penafiel
0:2
16.12.2023
Penafiel
-
Leiria
1:0
Latest results of Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 49:25 | 24 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 56:33 | 23 | 55 |
| 3 | Torreense | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 37:30 | 7 | 50 |
| 4 | Leiria | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 50:40 | 10 | 49 |
| 5 | Vizela | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 48 |
| 6 | Benfica B | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 43:40 | 3 | 44 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 44 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:48 | -6 | 43 |
| 9 | Feirense | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 42 |
| 10 | FC Porto B | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 42 |
| 11 | Chaves | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 36:34 | 2 | 42 |
| 12 | Sporting CP B | 32 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 41:33 | 8 | 41 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 28:35 | -7 | 40 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 33:34 | -1 | 38 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 27:35 | -8 | 36 |
| 16 | Pacos Ferreira | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 30:44 | -14 | 35 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 33 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
