Result
1:0
04/04/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium, TNT Sports |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.31 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (161/261) | 63% (172/273) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (161/261) | 63% (172/273) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (21/56) | 33% (19/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (66/115) | 51% (48/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.29 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 80% (16/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 1.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Sosa S. 🟨,
- 39', Valdez S. 🟨,
- 40', Adrian Martinez (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+5', Rojo M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', Montiel S. 🟨,
- 58', Millan L. ↓, Perez Curci M. ↑,
- 73', Conechny T. ↓, Vergara D. ↑,
- 80', Valdez F. ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 0, Avalos G. ⚽, Montiel S. (A),
- 83', Rodriguez B. ↓, Zuculini B. ↑,
- 83', Fernandez A. ↓, Miljevic M. ↑,
- 86', Montiel S. ↓, Fedorco J. ↑,
- 89', Garcia A. ↓, Martirena Torres G. N. ↑,
- 90+4', Miljevic M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Independiente
38.5% | Draw
32.4% | Racing
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Independiente - Racing Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↓
(2.68) |
2.91 ↓
(2.98) |
3.24 ↑
(2.87) |
6%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Independiente - Racing?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 1.
- Independiente has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Racing is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Independiente may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Independiente has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 0.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against Racing?
Independiente has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Racing won against Independiente?
Racing has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Racing were as follows:
28.09.2025
Racing
-
Independiente
0:0
25.08.2024
Racing
-
Independiente
0:0
24.02.2024
Independiente
-
Racing
0:1
30.09.2023
Racing
-
Independiente
0:2
16.04.2023
Independiente
-
Racing
1:1
Latest results of Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 22 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 14:6 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 19 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Lanus | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Talleres Cordoba | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 18 |
| 8 | Independiente | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Platense | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 15 |
| 11 | Instituto | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 12 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10:23 | -13 | 9 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 12 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 3:9 | -6 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 26 |
| 2 | River Plate | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17:9 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 23 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 19 |
| 6 | Racing Club | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:11 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Tigre | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 | Huracan | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | Sarmiento Junin | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Gimnasia L.P | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Banfield | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3:13 | -10 | 6 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3:17 | -14 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
