Independiente vs Unión Santa Fe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
4:4
10/03/2026 at 18:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 10
  • Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.382.19
Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
66
Big chances
54
Corner kicks
73
Passes
73% (276/376)66% (191/289)
Yellow cards
20
Expected goals (xG)
2.382.19
xG on target (xGOT)
2.063.01
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
43
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
126
Shots outside the box
13
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
20
Big chances
54
Corner kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2918
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free kicks
1012
Passes
73% (276/376)66% (191/289)
Long passes
56% (41/73)30% (24/81)
Passes in final third
54% (77/143)57% (46/80)
Crosses
32% (8/25)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.870.29
Throw ins
2418
Fouls
1210
Tackles
61% (14/23)74% (14/19)
Duels won
5763
Clearances
1534
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
3.012.06
Goals prevented
-0.99-1.94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Tarragona C. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 20', 0 - 2, Cuello B. ⚽,
  • 39', 0 - 3, Del Blanco M. ⚽, Profini R. (A),
  • 45+1', 1 - 3, Pussetto I. ⚽, Avalos G. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Godoy L. ↓, Arias S. ↑,
  • 46', Millan L. ↓, Cabral L. ↑,
  • 49', 2 - 3, Avalos G. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 59', Marcone I. 🟨,
  • 63', Pussetto I. ↓, Montiel S. ↑,
  • 64', 2 - 4, Rodriguez M. ⚽, Del Blanco M. (A),
  • 68', 3 - 4, Avalos G. ⚽, Malcorra I. (A),
  • 71', Palacios J. ↓, Solari A. ↑,
  • 71', Cuello B. ↓, Pitton B. ↑,
  • 76', Fedorco J. 🟨,
  • 81', Abaldo M. ↓, Valdez F. ↑,
  • 81', Marcone I. ↓, Rodrigo Fernandez ↑,
  • 82', Del Blanco M. ↓, Fragapane F. ↑,
  • 86', Tarragona C. ↓, Menossi L. ↑,
  • 90+9', 4 - 4, Fedorco J. ⚽, Lomonaco K. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente
45%		Draw
29.5%		Unión Santa Fe
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 30.5% 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 30.6% 24.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Independiente have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
    •

    Independiente - Unión Santa Fe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.11 ↑
    (2.1)    		 3.16 ↑
    (3.1)    		 3.71 ↓
    (3.85)    		 6%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Independiente - Unión Santa Fe?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Unión will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 3.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Independiente is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Unión: Colazo A. (Inactive) Palavecino N. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Unión: Cuello B. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Unión Santa Fe were as follows:
    05.11.2024 Independiente - Unión Santa Fe 3:0
    24.06.2023 Unión Santa Fe - Independiente 3:0
    19.09.2022 Unión Santa Fe - Independiente 0:1
    Latest results of Independiente
    28.02.2026 Independiente - Central Córdoba 2:0 ✺
    24.02.2026 Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Independiente 1:1 ✺
    21.02.2026 Independiente Rivadavia - Independiente 3:2 ✺
    13.02.2026 Independiente - Lanús 2:0 ✺
    08.02.2026 Platense - Independiente 0:1
    Latest results of Unión Santa Fe
    01.03.2026 Instituto Córdoba - Unión Santa Fe 1:2 ✺
    26.02.2026 Sarmiento de Junín - Unión Santa Fe 1:3 ✺
    22.02.2026 Unión Santa Fe - Aldosivi 1:0 ✺
    13.02.2026 Unión Santa Fe - San Lorenzo 0:0 ✺
    06.02.2026 Central Córdoba - Unión Santa Fe 1:0 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1694319:71231
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1686222:91330
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1675417:13426
    5Independiente ✔ 1666424:20424
    6Lanus ✔ 1666418:15324
    7San Lorenzo ✔ 1657414:14022
    8Union de Santa Fe1656524:20421
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1637610:15-516
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1644811:21-1016
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra161875:12-711


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1585217:11629
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    5Belgrano ✔ 1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P. ✔ 1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1556417:13421
    8Barracas Central1656515:15021
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1653817:19-218
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Independiente is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Lorenzo is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Belgrano is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Gimnasia L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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