Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cajamarca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
25/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 11
  • Referee: Espinoza M. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.75
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
68
Passes
80% (237/296)83% (359/432)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.75
xG on target (xGOT)
0.740.38
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
96
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
98
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
68
Touches in opposition box
1712
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1014
Passes
80% (237/296)83% (359/432)
Long passes
47% (28/59)50% (32/64)
Passes in final third
56% (44/78)62% (71/114)
Crosses
30% (6/20)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.490.59
Throw-ins
1414
Fouls
1410
Tackles
88% (7/8)64% (7/11)
Duels won
3141
Clearances
2327
Interceptions
1910
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.380.74
Goals prevented
0.380.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Arancibia F. , Bazan J. ,
  • 33', Campos D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 50', Canales E. 🟨,
  • 55', Oncoy F. 🟨,
  • 62', Salazar A. 🟨,
  • 67', Gomez N. , Celi Y. ,
  • 67', Naya E. , Sinisterra J. ,
  • 70', Ramirez E. , Balanta G. ,
  • 77', Canales E. , Portales J. ,
  • 78', Sandoval K. , Moreno X. ,
  • 85', Vasquez A. , Alvarez L. ,
  • 86', Oncoy F. , Aguirre J. ,
  • 90', Quintero J. , De la Cruz L. ,
  • 90+1', Vega J. , Villamarin R. ,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Garcilaso
63.8%
Draw
21.8%
Cajamarca
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.6% 22% 17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2% 21.1% 16.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Deportivo Garcilaso - Cajamarca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.49)
    4.31
    (4.1)
    6.41
    (5.2)
    6.7%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso - Cajamarca?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Cajamarca will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Cajamarca (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cajamarca (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 and 18).
    • Deportivo Garcilaso is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cajamarca has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Cajamarca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Deportivo Garcilaso is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Garcilaso won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Garcilaso won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Garcilaso - Cajamarca were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Cajamarca - Deportivo Garcilaso 2:1
    12.07.2024 Deportivo Garcilaso - Cajamarca 1:0
    26.01.2024 Cajamarca - Deportivo Garcilaso 1:0
    03.09.2023 Cajamarca - Deportivo Garcilaso 0:0
    16.04.2023 Deportivo Garcilaso - Cajamarca 2:2
    Latest results of Cajamarca
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Chankas752014:8617
    2Alianza Lima752010:4617
    3U. de Deportes742111:7414
    4Cienciano741216:10613
    5Cajamarca741210:8213
    6Sporting Cristal732213:8511
    7FBC Melgar731311:9210
    8Comerciantes Unidos731312:12010
    9Juan Pablo II731313:18-510
    10Alianza Atl72326:519
    11AD Tarma72236:8-28
    12Sport Huancayo72148:9-17
    13Cusco72147:8-17
    14Moquegua72145:12-77
    15Deportivo Garcilaso71336:8-26
    16FC Cajamarca712410:13-35
    17Grau71243:8-55
    18Sport Boys71243:9-65

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