Sporting Cristal vs River Plate Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Libertadores Sporting Cristal - River Plate Montevideo
Result
1:1
25/05/2023 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4
  • Referee: Garay C. (Chi)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
portugalPortugalSport TV

Chances of winning


Sporting Cristal
14.8%
Draw
22.1%
River Plate Montevideo
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.8% 26.8% 47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7% 26.9% 47.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting Cristal's form might have worsened.
  • River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting River Plate Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting Cristal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-15.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for River Plate Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sporting Cristal - River Plate Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.2
    (3.64)
    4.25
    (3.51)
    1.48
    (1.98)
    7.1%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal - River Plate Montevideo?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 2 - 25%). River Plate will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sporting Cristal in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches River Plate is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Sporting Cristal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match River Plate is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Sporting Cristal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Cristal - River Plate Montevideo were as follows:
    19.04.2023 River Plate Montevideo - Sporting Cristal 4:2
    Latest results of Sporting Cristal
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. NacionalSao Paulo1 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Botafogo RJLDU Quito0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Libertad AsuncionRiver Plate1 : 2, 0 : 0
    4U. de DeportesPalmeiras0 : 0, 0 : 4
    5FortalezaVelez Sarsfield0 : 2, 0 : 0
    6PenarolRacing Club1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Cerro PortenoEstudiantes L.P.0 : 0, 0 : 1
    8Flamengo RJInternacional2 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sao PauloLDU Quito
    2River PlatePalmeiras
    3Velez SarsfieldRacing Club
    4Estudiantes L.P.Flamengo RJ