Sporting Cristal vs River Plate Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
25/05/2023 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4
  • Referee: Garay C. (Chi)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
portugalPortugalSport TV

Chances of winning


Sporting Cristal
14.8%
Draw
22.1%
River Plate Montevideo
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.8% 26.8% 47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7% 26.9% 47.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting Cristal's form might have worsened.
  • River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting River Plate Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting Cristal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-15.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for River Plate Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sporting Cristal - River Plate Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.2
    (3.64)
    4.25
    (3.51)
    1.48
    (1.98)
    7.1%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal - River Plate Montevideo?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 2 - 25%). River Plate will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sporting Cristal in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches River Plate is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Sporting Cristal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match River Plate is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Sporting Cristal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Cristal - River Plate Montevideo were as follows:
    19.04.2023 River Plate Montevideo - Sporting Cristal 4:2
    Latest results of Sporting Cristal
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ11002:023
    2Estudiantes L.P10101:101
    3Ind. Medellin10101:101
    4Cusco10010:2-20


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coquimbo10101:101
    2Nacional10101:101
    3Deportes Tolima10100:001
    4U. de Deportes10100:001


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia11001:013
    2Fluminense10100:001
    3La Guaira10100:001
    4Bolivar10010:1-10


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors11002:113
    2Cruzeiro11001:013
    3U. Catolica10011:2-10
    4Barcelona SC10010:1-10


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians11002:023
    2Santa Fe10101:101
    3Penarol10101:101
    4Platense10010:2-20


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal11001:013
    2Palmeiras10101:101
    3Junior10101:101
    4Cerro Porteno10010:1-10


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mirassol11001:013
    2LDU Quito11001:013
    3Lanus10010:1-10
    4Always Ready10010:1-10


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Universidad Central11003:123
    2Rosario Central10100:001
    3Ind. del Valle10100:001
    4Libertad Asuncion10011:3-20

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)