River Plate Montevideo vs Fluminense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
07/06/2023 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5
  • Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN
polandPolandPolsat Sport Extra
portugalPortugalSport TV2

Chances of winning


River Plate Montevideo
56.1%
Draw
24.2%
Fluminense
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 27.2% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 26.2% 29.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate Montevideo's performance.
  • Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fluminense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Plate Montevideo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fluminense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • River Plate Montevideo - Fluminense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (2.08)
    3.85
    (3.42)
    4.73
    (3.33)
    6.8%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for River Plate Montevideo - Fluminense?
  • Users Predictions: River Plate Montevideo will win (54 of 61 users predict this - 88.52%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.52%96.52%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches River Plate is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Fluminense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Fluminense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Fluminense have a series of guest games.
    • In this match River Plate is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches River Plate won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-9.
    • Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate Montevideo - Fluminense were as follows:
    02.05.2023 Fluminense - River Plate Montevideo 5:1
    Latest results of Fluminense
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ32107:257
    2Estudiantes L.P31204:315
    3Ind. Medellin31113:5-24
    4Cusco30031:5-40


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportes Tolima31114:314
    2Nacional31116:604
    3U. de Deportes31114:404
    4Coquimbo31113:4-14


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia33007:259
    2Bolivar31113:214
    3La Guaira30212:5-32
    4Fluminense30121:4-31


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors32015:236
    2U. Catolica32015:416
    3Cruzeiro32013:216
    4Barcelona SC30031:6-50


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians33006:069
    2Platense32014:406
    3Santa Fe30122:5-31
    4Penarol30122:5-31


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal32014:226
    2Palmeiras31204:315
    3Cerro Porteno31112:204
    4Junior30121:4-31


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito32013:126
    2Lanus32012:116
    3Mirassol32013:216
    4Always Ready30030:4-40


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central32104:047
    2Ind. del Valle32106:337
    3Universidad Central31024:7-33
    4Libertad Asuncion30033:7-40

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)