Sporting Cristal vs River Plate Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
25/05/2023 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4
  • Referee: Garay C. (Chi)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
portugalPortugalSport TV

Chances of winning


Sporting Cristal
14.8%
Draw
22.1%
River Plate Montevideo
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.8% 26.8% 47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7% 26.9% 47.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting Cristal's form might have worsened.
  • River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting River Plate Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting Cristal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-15.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for River Plate Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sporting Cristal - River Plate Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.2
    (3.64)
    4.25
    (3.51)
    1.48
    (1.98)
    7.1%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal - River Plate Montevideo?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 2 - 25%). River Plate will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sporting Cristal in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches River Plate is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Sporting Cristal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match River Plate is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Sporting Cristal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Cristal - River Plate Montevideo were as follows:
    19.04.2023 River Plate Montevideo - Sporting Cristal 4:2
    Latest results of Sporting Cristal
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ32107:257
    2Estudiantes L.P31204:315
    3Ind. Medellin31113:5-24
    4Cusco30031:5-40


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportes Tolima31114:314
    2Nacional31116:604
    3U. de Deportes31114:404
    4Coquimbo31113:4-14


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia33007:259
    2Bolivar31113:214
    3La Guaira30212:5-32
    4Fluminense30121:4-31


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors32015:236
    2U. Catolica32015:416
    3Cruzeiro32013:216
    4Barcelona SC30031:6-50


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians33006:069
    2Platense32014:406
    3Santa Fe30122:5-31
    4Penarol30122:5-31


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal32014:226
    2Palmeiras31204:315
    3Cerro Porteno31112:204
    4Junior30121:4-31


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito32013:126
    2Lanus32012:116
    3Mirassol32013:216
    4Always Ready30030:4-40


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central32104:047
    2Ind. del Valle32106:337
    3Universidad Central31024:7-33
    4Libertad Asuncion30033:7-40

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)