Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
16/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Fierro R. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.961.22
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
86% (473/550)83% (332/400)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.961.22
xG on target (xGOT)
0.882.11
Total shots
167
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
2817
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1712
Passes
86% (473/550)83% (332/400)
Long passes
54% (25/46)38% (17/45)
Passes in final third
76% (137/181)80% (127/159)
Crosses
18% (2/11)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.59
Throw-ins
1913
Fouls
1217
Tackles
48% (12/25)81% (13/16)
Duels won
6146
Clearances
1125
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
2.110.88
Goals prevented
0.11-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', Cerrillo E. 🟨,
  • 11', Aude J. 🟨,
  • 38', Aude J. , Nelson J. ,
  • 40', 0 - 1, Uzuni M. , Rubio D. (A), Hines-Ike B. (A2)
  • 44', Guilherme Biro 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', Bukari O. 🟨,
  • 58', Desler M. 🟨,
  • 62', Rubio D. , Gallagher J. ,
  • 62', Stuver B. 🟨,
  • 63', 0 - 2, Wolff O. , Uzuni M. (A),
  • 73', Cerrillo E. , Parente I. ,
  • 73', Fagundez D. , Sanabria L. ,
  • 82', Wolff O. , Taylor R. ,
  • 82', Sanchez I. , Sabovic B. ,
  • 85', Svatok O. , Cascante J. ,
  • 85', Reus M. , Ramirez C. ,
  • 85', Yoshida M. , Cuevas M. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 2, Paintsil J. (Pen),
  • 90+6', Bukari O. , Obrian J. ,
  • 90+6', Uzuni M. , Fodrey C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Los Angeles Galaxy
50.1%
Draw
25.4%
Austin FC
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 25.8% 27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4% 26.8% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Los Angeles Galaxy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Los Angeles Galaxy - Austin FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (2.04)
    3.72
    (3.68)
    3.86
    (3.44)
    5.4%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Los Angeles Galaxy - Austin FC?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. LA Galaxy will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Austin will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. LA Galaxy (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - LA Galaxy (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Austin (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. LA Galaxy (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Austin (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LA Galaxy won 2.
    • LA Galaxy has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Austin is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • LA Galaxy might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in LA Galaxy: Berry M. (Thigh Injury) Puig R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Austin: Vazquez B. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, LA Galaxy won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, LA Galaxy won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Los Angeles Galaxy - Austin FC were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Austin FC - Los Angeles Galaxy 1:0
    05.10.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy - Austin FC 2:1
    27.04.2024 Austin FC - Los Angeles Galaxy 2:0
    24.09.2023 Austin FC - Los Angeles Galaxy 3:3
    22.04.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy - Austin FC 2:0
    Latest results of Los Angeles Galaxy
    Latest results of Austin FC
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps440014:11312
    2Los Angeles FC44008:0812
    3San Diego FC431011:3810
    4San Jose Earthquakes43016:159
    5Seattle Sounders43015:239
    6Real Salt Lake43017:529
    7Colorado Rapids42027:616
    8Houston Dynamo32015:506
    9FC Dallas41216:605
    10Los Angeles Galaxy41126:7-14
    11Austin FC41125:7-24
    12Sporting Kansas City41124:7-34
    13Minnesota United41124:11-74
    14Portland Timbers41036:11-53
    15St. Louis City40131:6-51


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New York City431011:3810
    2Nashville SC43108:2610
    3Inter Miami42116:607
    4New York Red Bulls42114:5-17
    5DC United42024:406
    6Charlotte41214:5-15
    7Chicago Fire41125:414
    8Toronto FC41124:7-34
    9New England Revolution31027:613
    10Atlanta Utd41035:8-33
    11FC Cincinnati41033:8-53
    12CF Montreal41034:10-63
    13Orlando City41035:12-73
    14Columbus Crew40224:6-22
    15Philadelphia Union40042:7-50

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)