Result
4:0
28/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 6
- Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Sports 3 |
 Belarus | Okko Sport |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 3 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 South-america | ESPN 6 South |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.78 | 0.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (403/458) | 63% (127/203) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.78 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.79 | 0.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (403/458) | 63% (127/203) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 77% (58/75) | 37% (19/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (83/105) | 46% (33/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (9/24) | 40% (2/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.54 | 2.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.54 | -1.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 27', Melgar C. A. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 0, Romero D. ⚽, Velasquez J. (A),
- 44', Pato Rodriguez 🟨,
- 44', Velazquez G. 🟨,
- 45+2', 2 - 0, Melgar C. A. ⚽, Justiniano L. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 50', 3 - 0, Pato Rodriguez ⚽, Sagredo J. (A),
- 52', Iturbe J. ↓, Chico ↑,
- 52', Carrizo F. ↓, Viera W. ↑,
- 53', Morel J. ↓, Farina A. ↑,
- 57', Viera W. 🟨,
- 66', Perez M. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
- 67', Robson Matheus 🟨,
- 71', Velasquez J. ↓, Bruno Savio ↑,
- 71', Robson Matheus ↓, Vaca Moreno E. ↑,
- 71', Romero D. ↓, Fabio Gomes ↑,
- 72', Velazquez G. ↓, Valdez B. ↑,
- 80', 4 - 0, Fabio Gomes ⚽, Torren M. (A),
- 81', Fabio Gomes 🟨,
- 88', Rocha Y. ↓, Rivero E. ↑,
- 90+3', Piris R. 🟨,
- 90+3', Bruno Savio 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bolívar
66.1% | Draw
20.8% | Cerro Porteño
13.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bolívar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Bolívar - Cerro Porteño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↑
(1.34) |
4.56 ↓
(5.33) |
7.23 ↑
(6.82) |
5.9%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bolívar - Cerro Porteño?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Bolívar will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cerro Porteño (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Bolívar has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cerro Porteño is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Bolívar has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Bolívar is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Cerro Porteño: Gimenez G.
(Inactive)
Melgarejo R.
(Knee Injury)
Torres J.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Cerro Porteño: Dominguez C.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bolívar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Bolívar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolívar won against Cerro Porteño?
Bolívar has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Bolívar?
Cerro Porteño has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bolívar - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
01.04.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Bolívar
4:2
06.06.2023
Bolívar
-
Cerro Porteño
2:0
03.05.2023
Cerro Porteño
-
Bolívar
0:4
Latest results of Bolívar
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Atl. Nacional | Sao Paulo | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | LDU Quito | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | River Plate | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | Palmeiras | 0 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | Velez Sarsfield | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Penarol | Racing Club | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Flamengo RJ | Internacional | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sao Paulo | LDU Quito | |
| 2 | River Plate | Palmeiras | |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | Racing Club | |
| 4 | Estudiantes L.P. | Flamengo RJ | |
