Result
2:1
07/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Georgia | Silk Universal |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (144/233) | 83% (401/483) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (144/233) | 83% (401/483) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (30/72) | 52% (26/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (33/71) | 73% (105/144) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 19% (5/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 37 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (19/26) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 77 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 53 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 20 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.01 | 1.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.99 | -0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Cauteruccio M. ⚽, Gonzales C. (A),
- 37', Pretell J. 🟨,
- 45+1', Velasquez J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Castro M. ↓, Cabellos C. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 0, Cauteruccio M. ⚽, Pacheco F. (A),
- 52', Gonzales C. 🟨,
- 52', Torren M. 🟨,
- 59', Romero D. ↓, Fabio Gomes ↑,
- 59', Rocha Y. ↓, Ramirez R. ↑,
- 62', Sagredo J. 🟨,
- 69', Sosa L. ↓, Lora J. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 1, Vaca R. ⚽, Sagredo J. (A),
- 76', Pacheco F. ↓, Caparo H. ↑,
- 76', Pretell J. ↓, Avila I. ↑,
- 89', Chavez G. 🟨,
- 90+4', Cauteruccio M. ↓, Alarcon J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sporting Cristal
46.3% | Draw
25.7% | Bolívar
28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Bolívar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Sporting Cristal - Bolívar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(2.07) |
3.67 ↑
(3.65) |
3.4 ↑
(3.32) |
5.9%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal - Bolívar?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Bolívar will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolívar: 23.8% – 76.2%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting Cristal (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Bolívar (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Bolívar (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting Cristal (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Bolívar (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Sporting Cristal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Sporting Cristal could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Cazonatti G.
(Knee Injury)
Iberico L.
(Injury)
Pretell J.
(Inactive)
Yotun Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Bolívar: Lampe C.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Cauteruccio M.
(Injury)
Gonzalez S.
(Injury)
Solis R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Bolívar: Bruno Savio
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sporting Cristal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Cristal won against Bolívar?
Sporting Cristal has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolívar won against Sporting Cristal?
Bolívar has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Cristal - Bolívar were as follows:
09.04.2025
Bolívar
-
Sporting Cristal
3:0
Latest results of Sporting Cristal
Latest results of Bolívar
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Cusco | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Nacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | U. de Deportes | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Coquimbo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Bolivar | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | La Guaira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Corinthians | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Platense | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Santa Fe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Penarol | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Junior | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LDU Quito | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Lanus | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Mirassol | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Always Ready | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Rosario Central | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Ind. del Valle | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Universidad Central | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
