Palmeiras vs Bolívar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
15/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
  • Referee: Ramirez M. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes World Football
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 3
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
brazilBrazilParamount+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.17
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
195
Shots on target
93
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
85% (358/421)84% (329/394)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.17
xG on target (xGOT)
1.180.75
Total shots
195
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
112
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
289
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
78
Passes
85% (358/421)84% (329/394)
Long passes
52% (22/42)49% (29/59)
Passes in final third
71% (92/129)63% (47/75)
Crosses
53% (8/15)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.440.31
Throw-ins
1918
Fouls
87
Tackles
71% (10/14)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4732
Clearances
1826
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
37
xGOT faced
0.751.18
Goals prevented
0.75-0.82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Murilo , Piquerez J. (A),
  • 12', 2 - 0, Torres F. , Mauricio (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 64', Velasquez J. , Bruno Savio ,
  • 64', Torres F. , Luighi ,
  • 65', Mauricio , Raphael Veiga ,
  • 72', Ramirez R. , Quinteros J. ,
  • 72', Melgar C. A. , Romero D. ,
  • 73', Vitor Roque , Flaco Lopez ,
  • 73', Piquerez J. , Vanderlan ,
  • 84', Felipe Anderson , Mayke ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Palmeiras
77.7%
Draw
14.5%
Bolívar
7.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
78.5% 14.1% 7.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Palmeiras - Bolívar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.22
    (1.2)
    6.52
    (6.68)
    12.13
    (12.73)
    5.8%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Bolívar?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Bolívar will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 29%96%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Bolívar (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.25 - Bolívar (5.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Bolívar (2.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Bolívar (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2 - Bolívar (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1.75 - Bolívar (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Bolívar (3.53) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.75 - Bolívar (3.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Bolívar (3.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Bolívar (4.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Bolívar (votes: 14 - 82.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Palmeiras is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Bolívar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Bolívar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Bolívar has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Palmeiras is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues (Knee Injury) Micael (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:0. (average 4.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Bolívar were as follows:
    24.04.2025 Bolívar - Palmeiras 2:3
    29.06.2023 Palmeiras - Bolívar 4:0
    05.04.2023 Bolívar - Palmeiras 3:1
    Latest results of Palmeiras
    11.05.2025 Palmeiras - São Paulo 1:0
    07.05.2025 Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras 0:2
    04.05.2025 Vasco da Gama - Palmeiras 0:1
    30.04.2025 Ceará - Palmeiras 0:1
    27.04.2025 Palmeiras - Bahia 0:1
    Latest results of Bolívar
    11.05.2025 Aurora - Bolívar 0:2
    04.05.2025 ABB - Bolívar 0:3
    27.04.2025 Bolívar - Blooming 5:1
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ32107:257
    2Estudiantes L.P31204:315
    3Ind. Medellin31113:5-24
    4Cusco30031:5-40


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportes Tolima31114:314
    2Nacional31116:604
    3U. de Deportes31114:404
    4Coquimbo31113:4-14


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia33007:259
    2Bolivar31113:214
    3La Guaira30212:5-32
    4Fluminense30121:4-31


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors32015:236
    2U. Catolica32015:416
    3Cruzeiro32013:216
    4Barcelona SC30031:6-50


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians33006:069
    2Platense32014:406
    3Santa Fe30122:5-31
    4Penarol30122:5-31


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal32014:226
    2Palmeiras31204:315
    3Cerro Porteno31112:204
    4Junior30121:4-31


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito32013:126
    2Lanus32012:116
    3Mirassol32013:216
    4Always Ready30030:4-40


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central32104:047
    2Ind. del Valle32106:337
    3Universidad Central31024:7-33
    4Libertad Asuncion30033:7-40

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)