Alianza Lima vs Atlético Mineiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Libertadores Alianza Lima - Atlético Mineiro
Result
0:1
06/06/2023 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5
  • Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports
brazilBrazilESPN
germanyGermanySport 1+
portugalPortugalSport TV2

Highlights

Chances of winning


Alianza Lima
16.4%
Draw
24.9%
Atlético Mineiro
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.3% 26.1% 52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1% 25.9% 53.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Mineiro's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Mineiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alianza Lima - Atlético Mineiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.66
    (4.43)
    3.76
    (3.61)
    1.6
    (1.79)
    6.9%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Alianza Lima - Atlético Mineiro?
  • Users Predictions: Atlético Mineiro will win (21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.62%95.92%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Alianza Lima is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Atlético MG is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Alianza Lima could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Atlético MG is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Alianza Lima won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Lima - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
    03.05.2023 Atlético Mineiro - Alianza Lima 2:0
    Latest results of Alianza Lima
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. NacionalSao Paulo1 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Botafogo RJLDU Quito0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Libertad AsuncionRiver Plate1 : 2, 0 : 0
    4U. de DeportesPalmeiras0 : 0, 0 : 4
    5FortalezaVelez Sarsfield0 : 2, 0 : 0
    6PenarolRacing Club1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Cerro PortenoEstudiantes L.P.0 : 0, 0 : 1
    8Flamengo RJInternacional2 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sao PauloLDU Quito
    2River PlatePalmeiras
    3Velez SarsfieldRacing Club
    4Estudiantes L.P.Flamengo RJ