Result
0:1
14/04/2026 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.25 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 80% | 20% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (501/554) | 57% (81/141) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (501/554) | 57% (81/141) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (21/32) | 34% (17/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (148/185) | 43% (24/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (6/26) | 43% (3/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.25 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 44% (4/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 28 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.07 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', Castillo J. 🟨,
- 22', Antoni M. 🟨,
- 29', 0 - 1, Castillo E. ⚽, Pavez E. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gutierrez A. ↓, Ojeda A. ↑,
- 46', Benites Vargas L. E. ↓, Guivin Tanta J. ↑,
- 59', Alvino J. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 61', Soto J. 🟨,
- 71', Ramos L. ↓, Girotti F. ↑,
- 73', Gomez L. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
- 78', Castillo E. ↓, Gentile G. ↑,
- 87', Perez L. ↓, Rengifo N. ↑,
- 89', Velez J. ↓, Estrada J. ↑,
- 90', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
ADT Tarma
30.2% | Draw
32% | Alianza Lima
37.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)The chances for Alianza Lima have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ADT Tarma - Alianza Lima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.12 ↑
(2.8) |
2.91 ↓
(3.1) |
2.46 ↑
(2.43) |
7.1%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for ADT Tarma - Alianza Lima?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Alianza Lima will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza Lima: 50.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ADT won 2.
- ADT has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Alianza Lima is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Alianza Lima could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in ADT: Arakaki H.
(Injury)
Cabello C.
(Red Card)
Mazzo A.
(Red Card)
Narvaez J.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, ADT won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, ADT won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has ADT Tarma won against Alianza Lima?
ADT Tarma has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against ADT Tarma?
Alianza Lima has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between ADT Tarma - Alianza Lima were as follows:
16.08.2025
Alianza Lima
-
ADT Tarma
3:1
29.03.2025
ADT Tarma
-
Alianza Lima
3:0
10.08.2024
Alianza Lima
-
ADT Tarma
0:0
01.03.2024
ADT Tarma
-
Alianza Lima
2:0
21.10.2023
Alianza Lima
-
ADT Tarma
0:0
Latest results of ADT Tarma
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 21:14 | 7 | 29 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 19 |
| 6 | Cusco | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 19 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:16 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Cajamarca | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Moquegua | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18:27 | -9 | 15 |
| 11 | Sporting Cristal | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 14 |
| 13 | AD Tarma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 13 |
| 14 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 12 |
| 16 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 |
| 17 | Grau | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 | FC Cajamarca | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13:22 | -9 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
