Real Madrid vs Manchester City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League
Soccer UEFA Champions League Real Madrid - Manchester City
Result
3:1
19/02/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)
Real Madrid - Manchester City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.821.38
Ball Possession
48%52%
Goal Attempts
1512
Shots on Goal
84
Shots off Goal
33
Blocked Shots
45
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
75
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
35
Free Kicks
99
Offsides
01
Fouls
99
Yellow Cards
12
Throw-ins
1013
Touches in the Opposition Box
2524
Passes
88% (437/494)91% (481/528)
Passes in the final third
77% (77/100)85% (153/181)
Crosses
33% (3/9)11% (1/9)
Tackles
60% (9/15)67% (8/12)
Clearances Total
1314
Interceptions
105

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Mbappe K. ⚽, Asencio R. (A),
  • 8', Stones J. ↓, Ake N. ↑,
  • 28', Gundogan I. 🟨,
  • 33', 2 - 0, Mbappe K. ⚽, Rodrygo (A),
  • 38', Bellingham J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', Nico 🟨,
  • 61', 3 - 0, Mbappe K. ⚽, Valverde F. (A),
  • 77', Foden P. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
  • 77', Gundogan I. ↓, Kovacic M. ↑,
  • 78', Ceballos D. ↓, Camavinga E. ↑,
  • 78', Mbappe K. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
  • 83', Tchouameni A. ↓, Modric L. ↑,
  • 90', Valverde F. ↓, Alaba D. ↑,
  • 90', Vinicius Junior ↓, Endrick ↑,
  • 90+2', 3 - 1, Nico ⚽, Marmoush O. (A),

Chances of winning


Real Madrid
51.9%		Draw
22.4%		Manchester City
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 21.4% 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 21% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+1%)
    •

    Real Madrid - Manchester City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.86 ↓
    (1.88)    		 4.31 ↓
    (4.49)    		 3.79 ↑
    (3.53)    		 3.5%
    (3.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Telemundo (KUTU-Tulsa, OK)
    •
    What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Manchester City?
  • Users Predictions: 111 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 67 - 60.4%). Man City will win (votes: 22 - 19.8%). It will Tie (votes: 22 - 19.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 51.3% – 69.5%. The data is statistically significant.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 3-2.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Real won 2.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Real could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Real have a series of guest games.
    • Real will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Real: Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Eder Militao (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Man City: Akanji M. (Muscle Injury) Bobb O. (Leg Injury) Rodri (Knee Injury) Vitor Reis (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Real: Lucas (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Real won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 27:28 (average 1.8:1.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Real won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:9 (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Manchester City were as follows:
    11.02.2025 Manchester City - Real Madrid 2:3
    17.04.2024 Manchester City - Real Madrid 1:2
    09.04.2024 Real Madrid - Manchester City 3:3
    17.05.2023 Manchester City - Real Madrid 4:0
    09.05.2023 Real Madrid - Manchester City 1:1
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    15.02.2025 Osasuna - Real Madrid 1:1 ✺
    11.02.2025 Manchester City - Real Madrid 2:3 ✺
    08.02.2025 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 1:1 ✺
    05.02.2025 Leganés - Real Madrid 2:3 ✺
    01.02.2025 Espanyol - Real Madrid 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Manchester City
    15.02.2025 Manchester City - Newcastle United 4:0 ✺
    11.02.2025 Manchester City - Real Madrid 2:3 ✺
    08.02.2025 Leyton Orient - Manchester City 1:2 ✺
    02.02.2025 Arsenal - Manchester City 5:1 ✺
    29.01.2025 Manchester City - Club Brugge 3:1 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS0 : 1
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3
    3ZalgirisHamrun2 : 0
    4ByeDyn. Kyiv
    5PafosBye
    6ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps2 : 3
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9NoahBuducnost1 : 0
    10ByeFerencvaros
    11Lech PoznanBye
    12EgnatiaBreidablik1 : 0
    13FC CopenhagenBye
    14DritaDifferdange1 : 0
    15RijekaBye
    16LudogoretsDin. Minsk1 : 0
    17TNSShkendija0 : 0
    18FCSBInter Escaldes3 : 1
    19Slovan BratislavaBye
    20VirtusZrinjski0 : 2
    21ShelbourneLinfield1 : 0
    22ByeQarabag
    23KuPSMilsami1 : 0
    24O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty1 : 1
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    27PlzenBye
    28ByeServette
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3Dyn. Kyiv
    3PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv
    4TBD #7Crvena zvezda
    5TBD #9Ferencvaros
    6Lech PoznanTBD #12
    7FC CopenhagenTBD #14
    8RijekaTBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10Slovan BratislavaTBD #20
    11TBD #21Qarabag
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13BrannSalzburg
    14PlzenServette
    15RangersPanathinaikos
    Which TV channels are streaming of Real Madrid - Manchester City?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    afghanistanAfghanistanArezo TV, Asr TV, Meraj Sport, Meraj TV, Solh TV
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
    argentinaArgentinaESPN
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, Q Arena Asia, TOD
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
    belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, RTL Club, RTL Play, VTM 2, VTM GO
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1, Moja TV
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    canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
    colombiaColombiaESPN
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, HRT 2, HRTi, MAXtv To Go
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    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
    denmarkDenmarkTV3+, Viaplay
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
    franceFranceCANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2, MEGA
    haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 1
    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
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    icelandIcelandStod 2 Sport 2
    indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sony Sports TEN 4
    indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
    irelandIrelandRTE 2, RTE Player
    israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
    italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno, TV8
    japanJapanWowow Live
    kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
    kosovoKosovoRTK 1
    laosLaosbeIN Connect
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
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    mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
    montenegroMontenegroArena Premium 1
    myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
    new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
    nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaArena Premium 1, TDM Desporto
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    pakistanPakistanTapmad
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    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
    polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1, Canal+ Sport Online
    portugalPortugalDAZN 1
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    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, RTS 1
    singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
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    south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League, SuperSport PSL
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
    spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
    swedenSwedenTV6, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
    turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT Spor
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1
    usaUsaParamount+, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
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