Result
1:2
06/09/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Corrigan M. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 0.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (394/471) | 73% (218/300) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (394/471) | 73% (218/300) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (43/76) | 39% (21/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (103/140) | 57% (43/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/31) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.90 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 85% (17/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.21 | 0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Mines B. ⚽, Valot F. (A),
- 7', Diaz G. 🟨,
- 12', 0 - 2, Skundrich D. ⚽, Awuah K. (A),
- 25', Ortiz A. 🟨,
- 36', McCabe T. 🟨,
- 44', Skundrich D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Bidois R. ↓, Ryan Z. ↑,
- 58', Mines B. ↓, Glasgow O. ↑,
- 63', Sorto C. 🟨,
- 66', 1 - 2, Ortiz A. ⚽, Ruiz R. (A),
- 71', Dambrot R. 🟨,
- 76', Ortiz A. 🟨,
- 77', Sorto C. ↓, Ackwei W. ↑,
- 79', Santos P. ↓, Leggett W. ↑,
- 79', Skundrich D. ↓, Nyeman M. ↑,
- 81', Tingey K. 🟨,
- 84', Moreno A. ↓, Cabrera A. ↑,
- 84', Ryan Z. 🟨,
- 90+3', Awuah K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
El Paso Locomotive
40% | Draw
26% | Loudoun United
33.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that El Paso Locomotive's form might have worsened.Loudoun United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Loudoun United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+11.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Paso Locomotive, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (-10.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Loudoun United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
El Paso Locomotive - Loudoun United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↑
(1.85) |
3.66 ↑
(3.61) |
2.81 ↓
(3.79) |
5%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- El Paso is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Loudoun has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- El Paso could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
- Including home match between the teams, El Paso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has El Paso Locomotive won against Loudoun United?
El Paso Locomotive has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Loudoun United won against El Paso Locomotive?
Loudoun United has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Paso Locomotive - Loudoun United were as follows:
10.05.2024
Loudoun United
-
El Paso Locomotive
0:2
13.05.2023
El Paso Locomotive
-
Loudoun United
1:0
Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
Latest results of Loudoun United
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 48:18 | 30 | 57 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 50:27 | 23 | 51 |
| 3 | Loudoun | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 39:40 | -1 | 37 |
| 4 | North Carolina | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 35:32 | 3 | 36 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 37:27 | 10 | 35 |
| 6 | Detroit | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 32 |
| 7 | Pittsburgh | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 23:23 | 0 | 31 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 17:24 | -7 | 27 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 36:43 | -7 | 26 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 31:38 | -7 | 25 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 30:42 | -12 | 22 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 22:38 | -16 | 21 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 38 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 31:31 | 0 | 33 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 33 |
| 5 | El Paso | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 37:33 | 4 | 32 |
| 6 | Lexington | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26:30 | -4 | 32 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 32:33 | -1 | 31 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 34:34 | 0 | 29 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 25 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18:39 | -21 | 25 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24:36 | -12 | 24 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
