Result
1:2
28/03/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Wiseman T. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 1.16 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (480/560) | 79% (281/357) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 1.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 1.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (480/560) | 79% (281/357) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (26/50) | 47% (38/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (128/175) | 61% (46/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (8/27) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.30 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 67% (4/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.20 | 2.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.80 | 1.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 25', 0 - 1, Moreno A. ⚽, Calvillo E. (A),
- 37', 0 - 2, Mendez A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 40', Wanner D. 🟨,
- 44', Calvillo E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Calvillo E. 🟨,
- 64', Wanner D. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
- 73', Hoban K. ↓, Ortiz A. ↑,
- 73', Coronado R. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
- 73', Moreno A. ↓, Avila R. ↑,
- 81', Rubin R. ↓, Abitia D. ↑,
- 81', Mendez A. ↓, Gabriel Torres ↑,
- 84', Casas J. ↓, Essel A. ↑,
- 86', Ruiz R. 🟨,
- 87', Essel A. 🟨,
- 90+2', 1 - 2, Benitez M. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Sacramento Republic
52.2% | Draw
27.6% | El Paso Locomotive
20.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sacramento Republic's performance.El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and El Paso Locomotive might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Sacramento Republic - El Paso Locomotive Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↓
(2.25) |
3.35 ↑
(2.75) |
4.6 ↑
(3.65) |
8%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sacramento Republic - El Paso Locomotive?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Sacramento Republic will win (votes: 6 - 75%). El Paso will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sacramento Republic: 45% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sacramento Republic (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 3.
- El Paso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Sacramento Republic will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sacramento Republic won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against El Paso Locomotive?
Sacramento Republic has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Paso Locomotive won against Sacramento Republic?
El Paso Locomotive has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sacramento Republic - El Paso Locomotive were as follows:
23.08.2025
El Paso Locomotive
-
Sacramento Republic
1:0
12.07.2025
Sacramento Republic
-
El Paso Locomotive
3:0
19.10.2024
El Paso Locomotive
-
Sacramento Republic
2:1
14.08.2024
Sacramento Republic
-
El Paso Locomotive
2:0
16.09.2023
Sacramento Republic
-
El Paso Locomotive
1:0
Latest results of Sacramento Republic
Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
USL Championship Table
2026Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Detroit | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Charleston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 13 |
| 5 | Miami FC | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 10 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Birmingham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 8 |
| 11 | Brooklyn | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Loudoun | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 5 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:18 | -13 | 1 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Antonio | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | Orange County SC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 15 |
| 3 | El Paso | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Oakland Roots | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:11 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 8 |
| 10 | New Mexico | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Lexington | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4:15 | -11 | 2 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
