Vélez Sársfield vs River Plate – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
1:0
22/02/2026 at 17:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 6
  • Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
boliviaBoliviaESPN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
ecuadorEcuadorESPN
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
paraguayParaguayESPN
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV5
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesDubai Sports 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.870.97
Ball possession
37%63%
Total shots
912
Shots on target
45
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
57
Passes
61% (196/321)78% (444/568)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
0.870.97
xG on target (xGOT)
1.070.52
Total shots
912
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
25
Blocked shots
32
Shots inside the box
38
Shots outside the box
64
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
920
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
149
Passes
61% (196/321)78% (444/568)
Long passes
31% (22/72)41% (29/70)
Passes in final third
50% (59/118)64% (87/135)
Crosses
7% (1/14)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.500.42
Throw ins
2724
Fouls
914
Tackles
85% (23/27)58% (11/19)
Duels won
6051
Clearances
2213
Interceptions
1411
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
53
xGOT faced
0.521.07
Goals prevented
0.520.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Lanzini M. ⚽, Pellegrini M. (A),
  • 18', Diaz P. 🟨,
  • 27', Quintero J. ↓, Freitas J. ↑,
  • 34', Pellegrini M. ↓, Veron A. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Galvan T. ↓, Paez K. ↑,
  • 46', Armani F. ↓, Beltran S. ↑,
  • 52', Vina M. 🟨,
  • 64', Monzon F. 🟨,
  • 64', Monzon F. ↓, Romero B. ↑,
  • 65', Robertone L. ↓, Aliendro R. ↑,
  • 66', Fausto Vera ↓, Giuliano Galoppo ↑,
  • 70', Paez K. ↓, Subiabre I. ↑,
  • 77', Lanzini M. ↓, Machuca I. ↑,
  • 87', Montiel G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vélez Sársfield
33.1%		Draw
32.6%		River Plate
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.2% 31.8% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9% 33.1% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+1%)
    •

    Vélez Sársfield - River Plate Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.85 ↑
    (2.72)    		 2.86 ↓
    (2.93)    		 2.74
    (2.74)    		 6.6%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - River Plate?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 3 - 30%). River Plate will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. River Plate (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Vélez (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Vélez (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - River Plate (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Vélez (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Vélez (votes: 3 - 42.9%). River Plate (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 1.
    • Vélez is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, River Plate has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • River Plate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Vélez: Gordon J. (Inactive) Romero B. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in River Plate: Armani F. (Heel Injury) Costantini G. (Knee Injury) Driussi S. (Muscle Injury) Meza M. (Foot Injury) Pezzella G. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Vélez: Valdes D. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1.1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vélez won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - River Plate were as follows:
    16.11.2025 Vélez Sársfield - River Plate 0:0
    04.05.2025 River Plate - Vélez Sársfield 4:1
    18.10.2024 River Plate - Vélez Sársfield 1:1
    04.02.2024 River Plate - Vélez Sársfield 5:0
    02.09.2023 Vélez Sársfield - River Plate 2:0
    Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
    13.02.2026 Defensa y Justicia - Vélez Sársfield 1:1 ✺
    08.02.2026 Vélez Sársfield - Boca Juniors 2:1 ✺
    31.01.2026 Independiente - Vélez Sársfield 1:1 ✺
    27.01.2026 Vélez Sársfield - Talleres de Córdoba 2:1 ✺
    22.01.2026 Instituto Córdoba - Vélez Sársfield 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of River Plate
    17.02.2026 River Plate - Ciudad de Bolívar 1:0
    12.02.2026 Argentinos Juniors - River Plate 1:0 ✺
    07.02.2026 River Plate - Tigre 1:4 ✺
    01.02.2026 Rosario Central - River Plate 0:0
    28.01.2026 River Plate - Gimnasia La Plata 2:0
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1164112:6622
    2Defensa y Justicia1147015:8719
    3Lanus1053216:12418
    4Estudiantes L.P105329:5418
    5Talleres Cordoba1153312:10218
    6Boca Juniors1145213:7617
    7Union de Santa Fe1144316:12416
    8Independiente1135317:15214
    9Platense113536:7-114
    10San Lorenzo1034310:11-113
    11Central Cordoba103345:7-212
    12Instituto1132611:15-411
    13Gimnasia Mendoza112366:13-79
    14Dep. Riestra100642:6-46
    15Newells Old Boys111377:22-156


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1172218:12623
    2River Plate1162314:9520
    3Belgrano1154212:9319
    4Racing Club1153315:10518
    5Rosario Central1153312:9318
    6Tigre1145216:10617
    7Barracas Central1043310:9115
    8Argentinos Jrs93516:4214
    9Gimnasia L.P1142513:15-214
    10Huracan103439:9013
    11Banfield1141612:13-113
    12Sarmiento Junin114168:11-313
    13Atl. Tucuman1123612:16-49
    14Aldosivi100553:11-85
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto111193:17-144

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    © Copyright 2026 | Powered by WordPress

    Impressum - Cookies Policy - Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy