Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Soldier Field (Chicago, IL).

MLS
Referee: Ford T. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	Amazon Prime Video
China	QQ Sports
Italy	Amazon Prime Video
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.63	1.21
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
12	10
Shots on target
6	6
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
8	9
Passes
87% (436/501)	87% (345/395)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63	1.21
xG on target (xGOT)
1.49	2.07
Total shots
12	10
Shots on target
6	6
Shots off target
2	1
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
4	7
Shots outside the Box
8	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
2	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
8	9
Touches in opposition box
19	20
Accurate through passes
3	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
9	14
Passes
87% (436/501)	87% (345/395)
Long passes
53% (24/45)	40% (14/35)
Passes in final third
72% (99/138)	69% (57/83)
Crosses
25% (4/16)	24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.11	0.23
Throw-ins
14	12
Fouls
14	9
Tackles
76% (13/17)	71% (5/7)
Duels won
44	40
Clearances
19	17
Interceptions
9	10
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	4
xGOT faced
2.07	1.49
Goals prevented
1.07	-0.51

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Zinckernagel P. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Elliott J. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Oregel S. ↓, D'Avilla D. ↑,
46', Gutierrez B. ↓, Bamba J. ↑,
61', Rogers S. ↓, Dean J. ↑,
61', Pineda M. ↓, Kouame R. ↑,
64', Etienne D. ↓, Stefanovic L. ↑,
70', Cifuentes J. ↓, Dominguez M. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Elliott J. ⚽, Zinckernagel P. (A),
74', Laryea R. 🟨,
81', Cuypers H. ↓, Barlow T. ↑,
83', Kerr D. ↓, Corbeanu T. ↑,
89', 2 - 1, Elliott J. ⚽, Zinckernagel P. (A),
90', Mihailovic D. 🟨,
90+9', Mihailovic D. (Pen),
90+10', 2 - 2, Mihailovic D. ⚽,
90+11', Waterman J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Chicago Fire
61.7%

Draw
22%

Toronto FC
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

23.2%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

22.8%

19.2%

Chicago Fire - Toronto FC Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.65)	4.34 ↑ (4.08)	5.79 ↑ (4.85)	5.1% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Chicago Fire - Toronto FC?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -1.25 - Chicago (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Toronto (2.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Chicago Fire will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chicago Fire will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Chicago (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Toronto (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 3.
Chicago is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Toronto has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Chicago may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Chicago is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Chicago: Mueller C. (Health problems)
There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Long K. (Lower-Body Injury) Monlouis Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Petretta R. (Yellow Cards) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Chicago: Barroso L. (Injury) Radojevic V. (Lower-Body Injury)
We predict that Chicago will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 30:35. (average 1.5:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.3:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Chicago Fire won against Toronto FC?

Chicago Fire has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC won against Chicago Fire?

Toronto FC has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Fire - Toronto FC were as follows:

15.03.2025 Toronto FC - Chicago Fire 1:2

28.09.2024 Chicago Fire - Toronto FC 1:1

15.06.2024 Toronto FC - Chicago Fire 1:4

15.07.2023 Chicago Fire - Toronto FC 1:0

31.05.2023 Toronto FC - Chicago Fire 0:0

Latest results of Chicago Fire

30.09.2025 Inter Miami - Chicago Fire 3:5 ✺

27.09.2025 Chicago Fire - Columbus Crew 2:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Minnesota United - Chicago Fire 0:3 ✺

13.09.2025 Chicago Fire - New York City 1:3 ✺

06.09.2025 Chicago Fire - New England Revolution 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Toronto FC

27.09.2025 Toronto FC - Inter Miami 1:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Columbus Crew - Toronto FC 1:1 ✺

13.09.2025 New England Revolution - Toronto FC 1:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Toronto FC - CF Montréal 1:1 ✺

24.08.2025 Atlanta United - Toronto FC 0:0 ✺

MLS Table

2026

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Dallas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Houston Dynamo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Los Angeles Galaxy	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Real Salt Lake	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	San Jose Earthquakes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Colorado Rapids	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Sporting Kansas City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Seattle Sounders	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Portland Timbers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Vancouver Whitecaps	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Minnesota United	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Los Angeles FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Austin FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	St. Louis City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	San Diego FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	New England Revolution	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	DC United	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Toronto FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	New York Red Bulls	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Columbus Crew	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Chicago Fire	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	CF Montreal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Philadelphia Union	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Orlando City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	New York City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	FC Cincinnati	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Atlanta Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Nashville SC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Inter Miami	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Charlotte	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)