Result
2:1
13/07/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 39', Chesnokov I. 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 1, Zhumat D. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 55', Marat D. 🟨,
- 61', Zhagorov N. ↓, Asrankulov R. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 1, Zhumashev Z. ⚽, Signevich N. (A),
- 68', Marat D. ↓, Jovanovic S. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 1, Zhumashev Z. ⚽, Signevich N. (A),
- 77', Zhumabekov S. ↓, Prokopenko V. ↑,
- 78', El Messaoudi A. ↓, Zuev A. ↑,
- 78', Tagybergen A. ↓, Victor Braga ↑,
- 80', Cuckic N. 🟨,
- 85', Adakhadziev A. ↓, Shamshi B. ↑,
- 85', Mukhammed A. ↓, Tazhibay B. ↑,
- 89', Ashirbek A. 🟨,
- 90', Zhumashev Z. ↓, Galym B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tobol Kostanay
62% | Draw
22.6% | Okzhetpes
15.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tobol Kostanay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Okzhetpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Okzhetpes than the current prediction. (+2%)
Tobol Kostanay - Okzhetpes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.53) |
4.08 ↓
(4.52) |
5.97 ↑
(5.32) |
8.5%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 and 6)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tobol won 5.
- Tobol is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Okzhetpes has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Tobol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Tobol is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Tobol will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Tobol won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:11. (average 1.5:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tobol won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 1.8:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Tobol Kostanay won against Okzhetpes?
Tobol Kostanay has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Okzhetpes won against Tobol Kostanay?
Okzhetpes has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tobol Kostanay - Okzhetpes were as follows:
05.04.2025
Okzhetpes
-
Tobol Kostanay
0:1
23.07.2023
Tobol Kostanay
-
Okzhetpes
2:0
28.05.2023
Okzhetpes
-
Tobol Kostanay
1:2
Latest results of Tobol Kostanay
Latest results of Okzhetpes
Kazakh Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 26 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 59 |
| 2 | FC Astana | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 66:30 | 36 | 57 |
| 3 | Tobol ✔ | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 45:25 | 20 | 54 |
| 4 | Yelimay Semey | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 48 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 39:29 | 10 | 43 |
| 6 | Zhenis | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 37:30 | 7 | 36 |
| 7 | Ordabasy | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 37:28 | 9 | 35 |
| 8 | Okzhetpes | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 37:43 | -6 | 35 |
| 9 | Kyzylzhar | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 27 |
| 10 | Ulytau | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 20:41 | -21 | 23 |
| 11 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 26 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 24:42 | -18 | 22 |
| 12 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 21 |
| 13 | Atyrau | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 22:45 | -23 | 19 |
| 14 | Turan | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 25:58 | -33 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tobol is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
