Hamburger SV vs Stuttgart – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
2:1
30/11/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 12
  • Referee: Storks S. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 259
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.870.67
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
73% (202/278)87% (472/543)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.870.67
xG on target (xGOT)
1.040.88
Total shots
914
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
48
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
17
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
1530
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1216
Passes
73% (202/278)87% (472/543)
Long passes
39% (22/57)46% (16/35)
Passes in final third
55% (28/51)75% (132/176)
Crosses
19% (3/16)16% (4/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.570.89
Throw-ins
1923
Fouls
1612
Tackles
40% (8/20)38% (6/16)
Duels won
4149
Clearances
3417
Interceptions
138
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
0.881.04
Goals prevented
-0.12-0.96

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Glatzel R. ⚽, Rossing-Lelesiit A. (A),
  • 23', Stenzel P. 🟨,
  • 34', Glatzel R. ↓, Konigsdorffer R. ↑,
  • 40', Fuhrich C. ↓, Undav D. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Stenzel P. ↓, Leweling J. ↑,
  • 54', 1 - 1, Undav D. ⚽,
  • 57', Nartey N. ↓, Stiller A. ↑,
  • 65', Rossing-Lelesiit A. 🟨,
  • 67', Lokonga A. S. ↓, Vieira F. ↑,
  • 67', Mikelbrencis W. ↓, Gocholeishvili G. ↑,
  • 68', Philippe R. ↓, Balde F. ↑,
  • 74', Andres C. 🟨,
  • 81', Rossing-Lelesiit A. 🟨,
  • 81', Undav D. 🟨,
  • 87', Vagnoman J. 🟨,
  • 88', Hendriks R. ↓, Mittelstadt M. ↑,
  • 88', Bouanani B. ↓, Jovanovic L. ↑,
  • 89', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
  • 90+4', 2 - 1, Vieira F. ⚽, Balde F. (A),

Chances of winning


Hamburger SV
31.1%		Draw
25.6%		Stuttgart
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.2% 25.2% 43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4% 25.4% 43.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Stuttgart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Stuttgart aligns with the current prediction.
    •

    Hamburger SV - Stuttgart Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.14 ↑
    (3.05)    		 3.76 ↓
    (3.77)    		 2.21 ↑
    (2.18)    		 3.8%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - Stuttgart?
  • Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 3 - 9.4%). Stuttgart will win (votes: 25 - 78.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Stuttgart: 63.8% – 92.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 4 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 4.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3.75 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stuttgart will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 0.
    • Recent form of Hamburg has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Stuttgart is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Stuttgart may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Stuttgart might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Hamburg: Elfadli D. (Groin Injury) Omari W. (Knee Injury) Poulsen Y. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Stuttgart: Demirovic E. (Foot Injury) Diehl J. (Ankle Injury) Keitel Y. (Thigh Injury) Silas (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 25:34. (average 1.5:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hamburg won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 1.9:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hamburger SV - Stuttgart were as follows:
    05.06.2023 Hamburger SV - Stuttgart 1:3
    01.06.2023 Stuttgart - Hamburger SV 3:0
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    22.11.2025 Augsburg - Hamburger SV 1:0 ✺
    08.11.2025 Hamburger SV - Borussia Dortmund 1:1 ✺
    02.11.2025 Köln - Hamburger SV 4:1 ✺
    28.10.2025 Heidenheim - Hamburger SV 0:1 ✺
    25.10.2025 Hamburger SV - Wolfsburg 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Stuttgart
    27.11.2025 Go Ahead Eagles - Stuttgart 0:4 ✺
    22.11.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Stuttgart 3:3 ✺
    09.11.2025 Stuttgart - Augsburg 3:2 ✺
    06.11.2025 Stuttgart - Feyenoord 2:0 ✺
    01.11.2025 RB Leipzig - Stuttgart 3:1 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich23193185:216460
    2Dortmund23157149:222752
    3Hoffenheim23144549:301946
    4Stuttgart23134644:321243
    5RB Leipzig23125644:321241
    6Bayer Leverkusen22123743:281539
    7Freiburg2396834:37-333
    8Eintracht Frankfurt2387846:49-331
    9Union Berlin2377929:37-828
    10Augsburg23841128:41-1328
    11Hamburger SV2268825:32-726
    12FC Koln23661133:39-624
    13Mainz23571126:38-1222
    14B. Monchengladbach23571126:39-1322
    15Wolfsburg23551333:49-1620
    16St. Pauli23551322:40-1820
    17Werder Bremen23471223:44-2119
    18Heidenheim23351522:51-2914

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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