Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/04/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

MHPArena (Stuttgart).

Bundesliga - Round 29
Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Setanta Sports 2
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4P
Brazil	Canal GOAT
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mongolia	Premier Sports 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Sport TV2, Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Futbol TV, Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, PPTV Sports
Turkey	S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
3.64	0.62
Ball possession
65%	35%
Total shots
23	9
Shots on target
11	5
Big chances
5	0
Corner kicks
8	2
Passes
85% (457/539)	75% (221/294)
Yellow cards
2	1
Expected goals (xG)
3.64	0.62
xG on target (xGOT)
3.07	0.46
Total shots
23	9
Shots on target
11	5
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked shots
7	0
Shots inside the box
16	4
Shots outside the box
7	5
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
5	0
Corner kicks
8	2
Touches in opposition box
39	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
5	1
Free kicks
14	10
Passes
85% (457/539)	75% (221/294)
Long passes
46% (21/46)	42% (28/66)
Passes in final third
74% (117/158)	61% (35/57)
Crosses
24% (5/21)	27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
2.72	0.52
Throw ins
12	9
Fouls
10	14
Tackles
57% (8/14)	69% (9/13)
Duels won
57	42
Clearances
14	29
Interceptions
6	10
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper saves
4	7
xGOT faced
0.46	3.07
Goals prevented
0.46	-0.93

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Stiller A. ⚽, Leweling J. (A),
24', Andres C. 🟨,
32', 2 - 0, Fuhrich C. ⚽, Demirovic E. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 3 - 0, Mittelstadt M. ⚽, Fuhrich C. (A),
60', Gronbaek A. ↓, Glatzel R. ↑,
60', Philippe R. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
70', Demirovic E. ↓, Tomas T. ↑,
70', Fuhrich C. ↓, El Khannouss B. ↑,
70', Andres C. ↓, Nartey N. ↑,
72', Balde F. ↓, Gocholeishvili G. ↑,
72', Elfadli D. ↓, Capaldo N. ↑,
80', Capaldo N. 🟨,
80', Undav D. 🟨,
82', Undav D. (Penalty Awarded),
86', 4 - 0, El Khannouss B. ⚽, Tomas T. (A),
88', Assignon L. ↓, Vagnoman J. ↑,
88', Undav D. ↓, Jeremy Arevalo ↑,

Chances of winning

Stuttgart
70.7%

Draw
17.5%

Hamburger SV
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

19.6%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

19.1%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stuttgart's performance.

Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+3%)

Stuttgart - Hamburger SV Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.46)	5.44 ↑ (4.85)	8.03 ↑ (6.28)	4.4% (5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for Stuttgart - Hamburger SV?

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Stuttgart will win (votes: 18 - 78.3%). Hamburg will win (votes: 1 - 4.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stuttgart: 61.5% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stuttgart (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 4.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, Stuttgart is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Stuttgart: Jovanovic L. (Back Injury) Karazor A. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Hamburg: Dompe J. (Foot Injury) Jatta B. (Hamstring Injury) Lokonga A. S. (Thigh Injury) Muheim M. (Red Card) Poulsen Y. (Thigh Injury) Rossing-Lelesiit A. (Ankle Injury) Vuskovic L. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Hamburg: Capaldo N. (Abdominal strain)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:27. (average 1.9:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Stuttgart won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 1.9:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Stuttgart won against Hamburger SV?

Stuttgart has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Hamburger SV won against Stuttgart?

Hamburger SV has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Stuttgart - Hamburger SV were as follows:

30.11.2025 Hamburger SV - Stuttgart 2:1

05.06.2023 Hamburger SV - Stuttgart 1:3

01.06.2023 Stuttgart - Hamburger SV 3:0

Latest results of Stuttgart

04.04.2026 Stuttgart - Borussia Dortmund 0:2 ✺

22.03.2026 Augsburg - Stuttgart 2:5 ✺

19.03.2026 Porto - Stuttgart 2:0 ✺

15.03.2026 Stuttgart - RB Leipzig 1:0 ✺

12.03.2026 Stuttgart - Porto 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Hamburger SV

04.04.2026 Hamburger SV - Augsburg 1:1 ✺

21.03.2026 Borussia Dortmund - Hamburger SV 3:2 ✺

14.03.2026 Hamburger SV - Köln 1:1 ✺

07.03.2026 Wolfsburg - Hamburger SV 1:2 ✺

04.03.2026 Hamburger SV - Bayer Leverkusen 0:1 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich ✔	31	26	4	1	113:32	81	82
2	Dortmund	31	20	7	4	65:31	34	67
3	RB Leipzig	31	19	5	7	62:38	24	62
4	Stuttgart	31	17	6	8	63:43	20	57
5	Hoffenheim	31	17	6	8	61:45	16	57
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	16	7	8	62:42	20	55
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	11	10	10	56:58	-2	43
8	Freiburg	31	12	7	12	44:52	-8	43
9	Augsburg	31	10	7	14	39:55	-16	37
10	Mainz	31	8	10	13	39:49	-10	34
11	B. Monchengladbach	31	7	11	13	36:50	-14	32
12	Werder Bremen	31	8	8	15	36:54	-18	32
13	Union Berlin	31	8	8	15	35:55	-20	32
14	FC Koln	31	7	10	14	45:53	-8	31
15	Hamburger SV	31	7	10	14	34:50	-16	31
16	St. Pauli	31	6	8	17	26:53	-27	26
17	Wolfsburg	31	6	7	18	41:66	-25	25
18	Heidenheim	31	5	7	19	35:66	-31	22

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

Clinched Spots for Teams

Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )