Result
0:1
28/09/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Second stage - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 18 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Pablo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Pablo ↓, Guilherme Martineli ↑,
- 64', Para ↓, Victor Andrade ↑,
- 64', Romarinho ↓, Ruan ↑,
- 72', Guilherme Martineli 🟨,
- 73', Foguinho ↓, Romisson ↑,
- 76', Romisson 🟨,
- 78', Guilherme Nunes ↓, Robson Alemao ↑,
- 80', 🟨,
- 81', 0 - 1, Jeam ⚽,
- 88', Jeam ↓, Rubens ↑,
- 88', Diego Matos ↓, Rafael Furlan ↑,
- 90+5', Mateus Ludke 🟨,
- 90+5', 🟨,
- 90+6', 🟨,
Chances of winning
São Bernardo
51.5% | Draw
32.6% | Floresta
16% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Floresta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
São Bernardo - Floresta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↑
(1.8) |
2.87 ↓
(2.99) |
5.85 ↑
(4.71) |
7.1%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet and 4)
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Floresta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, São Bernardo is the team to beat.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, São Bernardo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, São Bernardo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has São Bernardo won against Floresta?
São Bernardo has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Floresta won against São Bernardo?
Floresta has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Bernardo - Floresta were as follows:
21.09.2025
Floresta
-
São Bernardo
0:0
30.08.2025
Floresta
-
São Bernardo
2:0
24.08.2024
São Bernardo
-
Floresta
2:0
08.06.2023
Floresta
-
São Bernardo
2:0
Latest results of São Bernardo
Latest results of Floresta
Brazilian Serie C Table
Second stageGroup B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Londrina | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Floresta EC | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sao Bernardo | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | SER Caxias | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ponte Preta | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Guarani | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Brusque | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 | Nautico | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet
