Cincinnati 2 vs New York Red Bulls 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
01/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.122.42
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
714
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
83% (300/361)86% (455/528)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.122.42
xG on target (xGOT)
1.802.04
Total shots
714
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
1329
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
921
Passes
83% (300/361)86% (455/528)
Long passes
47% (27/57)56% (27/48)
Passes in final third
74% (83/112)74% (107/144)
Crosses
15% (2/13)47% (7/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.801.21
Throw-ins
1916
Fouls
219
Tackles
52% (13/25)83% (19/23)
Duels won
5166
Clearances
259
Interceptions
1212
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
2.041.80
Goals prevented
1.04-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Rojas A. , Worth N. (A),
  • 29', Rojas A. 🟨,
  • 41', Ikoba T. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Chavez A. , Kuisel W. (A), Chirila S. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', 2 - 1, Chavez A. , Mboma K. (A),
  • 64', Chavez A. , del Valle Y. ,
  • 64', Kuisel W. , Caicedo Y. ,
  • 68', Dos Santos M. , Ofori C. ,
  • 68', Worth N. , Scuro R. ,
  • 68', Mitchell R. , Jimenez M. ,
  • 69', Ikoba T. , Ramos Y. ,
  • 69', Mboma K. , Locker C. ,
  • 80', Nelich D. , Rosborough T. ,
  • 80', Flores G. , Augee B. ,
  • 83', Collahuazo J. 🟨,
  • 85', del Valle Y. 🟨,
  • 87', Mina J. , Sserwadda S. ,
  • 90+1', Mangione P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cincinnati 2
37.6%
Draw
24.5%
New York Red Bulls 2
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.9% 25% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 25.5% 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cincinnati 2's form might have worsened.
  • New York Red Bulls 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New York Red Bulls 2's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati 2 than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cincinnati 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls 2 than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New York Red Bulls 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cincinnati 2 - New York Red Bulls 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.64
    (2.05)
    4.06
    (3.6)
    2.62
    (2.9)
    0.7%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Cincinnati 2 - New York Red Bulls 2?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - New York Red Bulls 2 (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. New York Red Bulls 2 (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • New York Red Bulls 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati 2 won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • New York Red Bulls 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Cincinnati 2 has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Cincinnati 2 is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 2.3:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati 2 - New York Red Bulls 2 were as follows:
    29.06.2025 New York Red Bulls 2 - Cincinnati 2 3:4
    20.04.2025 Cincinnati 2 - New York Red Bulls 2 3:1
    19.05.2024 New York Red Bulls 2 - Cincinnati 2 1:4
    28.03.2024 Cincinnati 2 - New York Red Bulls 2 2:3
    22.07.2023 Cincinnati 2 - New York Red Bulls 2 0:2
    Latest results of Cincinnati 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II5302011:511
    2Philadelphia Union II531018:411
    3Columbus Crew 26310210:911
    4New England Revolution II522016:410
    5Connecticut FC520038:116
    6Toronto FC II5102210:75
    7Cincinnati 2510043:83
    8New York City II401121:73


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy6510022:617
    2Chattanooga6301213:1110
    3Atlanta United 2630129:810
    4Chicago Fire II513014:49
    5Orlando City B5210211:138
    6Huntsville511128:146
    7Inter Miami II601236:144
    8Carolina Core500235:102


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County6320111:713
    2San Jose Earthquakes II5301110:410
    3Real Monarchs5220112:810
    4Vancouver Whitecaps 26201310:127
    5Los Angeles FC 25112110:127
    6Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    7Tacoma Defiance601143:103


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 26420016:616
    2Houston Dynamo 25410014:114
    3North Texas6211211:99
    4Austin FC II520217:78
    5Minnesota 2520036:86
    6Sporting Kansas City II701155:203
    7Colorado Rapids 2500236:132


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy6510022:617
    2New York Red Bulls II5302011:511
    3Philadelphia Union II531018:411
    4Columbus Crew 26310210:911
    5Chattanooga6301213:1110
    6Atlanta United 2630129:810
    7New England Revolution II522016:410
    8Chicago Fire II513014:49
    9Orlando City B5210211:138
    10Connecticut FC520038:116
    11Huntsville511128:146
    12Toronto FC II5102210:75
    13Inter Miami II601236:144
    14Cincinnati 2510043:83
    15New York City II401121:73
    16Carolina Core500235:102


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 26420016:616
    2Houston Dynamo 25410014:114
    3Ventura County6320111:713
    4San Jose Earthquakes II5301110:410
    5Real Monarchs5220112:810
    6North Texas6211211:99
    7Austin FC II520217:78
    8Vancouver Whitecaps 26201310:127
    9Los Angeles FC 25112110:127
    10Minnesota 2520036:86
    11Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    12Tacoma Defiance601143:103
    13Sporting Kansas City II701155:203
    14Colorado Rapids 2500236:132

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)