Chicago Fire II vs Cincinnati 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
10/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.601.54
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
81% (314/390)80% (326/406)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.601.54
xG on target (xGOT)
1.860.99
Total shots
914
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
48
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
1821
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1810
Passes
81% (314/390)80% (326/406)
Long passes
36% (14/39)52% (25/48)
Passes in final third
66% (49/74)71% (92/129)
Crosses
13% (1/8)50% (5/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.350.83
Throw-ins
2225
Fouls
1019
Tackles
47% (7/15)59% (16/27)
Duels won
5453
Clearances
1315
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.991.86
Goals prevented
-0.01-0.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Chirila S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 52', Opeyemi M. , Ramos Y. ,
  • 55', Pfrommer J. , Hyte D. ,
  • 59', 0 - 1, Mangione P. , Chirila S. (A),
  • 75', Turdean R. , Poreba D. ,
  • 75', Berg H. , Oyegunle O. ,
  • 75', Borso D. , Herrera E. ,
  • 77', Locker C. 🟨,
  • 77', Locker C. , Kristel B. ,
  • 78', Mangione P. , Ikoba T. ,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Poreba D. (Pen),
  • 90', del Valle Y. , Sphire C. ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 1, Montiel J. , Hyte D. (A),
  • 90+2', Montiel J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Chicago Fire II
44.9%
Draw
23.4%
Cincinnati 2
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.8% 24.2% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8% 23.2% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chicago Fire II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Cincinnati 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire II than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati 2 than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (1.92)
    3.92
    (3.79)
    2.9
    (3.29)
    8.9%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Chicago Fire II will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago Fire II won 3.
    • Chicago Fire II is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Cincinnati 2 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Chicago Fire II could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Chicago Fire II will win today's game, with odds of 1.89.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Chicago Fire II won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chicago Fire II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2 were as follows:
    09.05.2025 Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2 2:1
    30.03.2025 Cincinnati 2 - Chicago Fire II 1:2
    08.09.2024 Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2 1:2
    28.07.2024 Cincinnati 2 - Chicago Fire II 5:0
    17.03.2024 Cincinnati 2 - Chicago Fire II 1:2
    Latest results of Cincinnati 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II8602020:820
    2Columbus Crew 29510316:1517
    3Philadelphia Union II8410311:814
    4Toronto FC II8302313:1311
    5New England Revolution II722127:611
    6Connecticut FC8210510:158
    7Cincinnati 2720059:116
    8New York City II611134:106


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy9621027:1023
    2Atlanta United 28501214:916
    3Orlando City B8231217:1913
    4Huntsville7311214:1612
    5Chattanooga8301413:1410
    6Chicago Fire II713126:910
    7Carolina Core8013410:165
    8Inter Miami II801259:214


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County9321314:1314
    2San Jose Earthquakes II7401214:713
    3Portland Timbers 2731218:813
    4Los Angeles FC 29312315:1913
    5Real Monarchs7220312:1210
    6Vancouver Whitecaps 29211514:189
    7Tacoma Defiance9121510:158


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 28710020:323
    2St. Louis City 29621020:823
    3Minnesota 2841039:914
    4Austin FC II7312110:813
    5North Texas9221413:1411
    6Sporting Kansas City II10112611:267
    7Colorado Rapids 2800359:193


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy9621027:1023
    2New York Red Bulls II8602020:820
    3Columbus Crew 29510316:1517
    4Atlanta United 28501214:916
    5Philadelphia Union II8410311:814
    6Orlando City B8231217:1913
    7Huntsville7311214:1612
    8Toronto FC II8302313:1311
    9New England Revolution II722127:611
    10Chattanooga8301413:1410
    11Chicago Fire II713126:910
    12Connecticut FC8210510:158
    13Cincinnati 2720059:116
    14New York City II611134:106
    15Carolina Core8013410:165
    16Inter Miami II801259:214


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 28710020:323
    2St. Louis City 29621020:823
    3Minnesota 2841039:914
    4Ventura County9321314:1314
    5San Jose Earthquakes II7401214:713
    6Austin FC II7312110:813
    7Portland Timbers 2731218:813
    8Los Angeles FC 29312315:1913
    9North Texas9221413:1411
    10Real Monarchs7220312:1210
    11Vancouver Whitecaps 29211514:189
    12Tacoma Defiance9121510:158
    13Sporting Kansas City II10112611:267
    14Colorado Rapids 2800359:193

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