New Zealand Warriors vs Parramatta Eels, Australian NRL – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby league Australian NRL New Zealand Warriors - Parramatta Eels
Result
22:26
29/08/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaNRL

Match Stats

Tries
44
Conversion Goals
34
Conversion Goal Attempts
46
Penalty Goals
01
Penalty Goal Attempts
01
Goals %
7571
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
209174
Metres Run With Ball
20401685

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 12)
  • 4', Addo-Carr J. (Try),
  • 6', Lomax Z. (Conversion Goal),
  • 16', Williams J. (Try),
  • 17', Lomax Z. (Conversion Goal),
  • 20', Pompey A. (Try),
  • 22', Boyd T. (Missed Conversion),
  • 2nd Half (18 - 14)
  • 44', Moses M. (Penalty Goal),
  • 50', Iongi I. (Try),
  • 51', Lomax Z. (Conversion Goal),
  • 56', Tuivasa-Sheck R. (Try),
  • 58', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 61', Halasima L. (Try),
  • 62', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 64', Iongi I. (Try),
  • 66', Lomax Z. (Conversion Goal),
  • 71', Halasima L. (Try),
  • 72', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


New Zealand Warriors
54.1%
Draw
4.5%
Parramatta Eels
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.4% 3.8% 34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1% 3.9% 36.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New Zealand Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New Zealand Warriors's form might have worsened.
  • Parramatta Eels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Parramatta Eels's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Zealand Warriors than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parramatta Eels than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Parramatta Eels, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • New Zealand Warriors - Parramatta Eels Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.52)
    20.86
    (24.33)
    2.33
    (2.67)
    2.2%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 43.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
    What is the prediction for New Zealand Warriors - Parramatta Eels?
  • Users Predictions: Parramatta Eels will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Parramatta Eels will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 25:20.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • New Zealand could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 350:368. (average 20.6:21.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New Zealand won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 173:171. (average 21.6:21.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New Zealand Warriors - Parramatta Eels were as follows:
    02.08.2024 New Zealand Warriors - Parramatta Eels 20:30
    08.07.2023 Parramatta Eels - New Zealand Warriors 10:46
    Latest results of Parramatta Eels
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Canterbury Bulldogs (3)26 : 18
    3Canberra Raiders (1)Bye
    4Cronulla Sharks (5)Sydney Roosters (8)20 : 10
    5Canberra Raiders (1)Brisbane Broncos (4)28 : 29
    7Canterbury BulldogsBye
    8New Zealand Warriors (6)Penrith Panthers (7)8 : 24

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Bye
    2Canberra Raiders (1)Cronulla Sharks (5)12 : 32
    3Brisbane Broncos (4)Bye
    4Canterbury Bulldogs (3)Penrith Panthers (7)26 : 46

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Cronulla Sharks (5)22 : 14
    2Brisbane Broncos (4)Penrith Panthers (7)16 : 14

    Final
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Brisbane Broncos (4)22 : 26