Platense vs Sarmiento de Junín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
1:1
03/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 14
  • Referee: Pafundi J. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports Premium
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.021.31
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
60
Passes
59% (157/264)63% (162/258)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.021.31
xG on target (xGOT)
1.381.26
Total shots
105
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
10
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
60
Touches in opposition box
2911
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
2111
Passes
59% (157/264)63% (162/258)
Long passes
31% (24/77)29% (23/78)
Passes in final third
51% (67/132)32% (25/77)
Crosses
18% (5/28)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.110.42
Throw-ins
2721
Fouls
1121
Tackles
56% (5/9)67% (10/15)
Duels won
5850
Clearances
2050
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.261.38
Goals prevented
0.260.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Mainero G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 59', Schor I. ↓, Lotti A. ↑,
  • 60', Frias F. 🟨,
  • 61', Orihuela R. 🟨,
  • 63', Frias F. ↓, Pratto L. ↑,
  • 63', Gomez J. ↓, Gimenez E. ↑,
  • 68', Garcia M. ↓, Seyral A. ↑,
  • 72', 0 - 1, Diaz G. ⚽, Morales I. (A),
  • 77', Baldassarra F. ↓, Toloza S. ↑,
  • 78', Herrera R. ↓, Marquez De Meneses R. L. ↑,
  • 80', Contrera J. ↓, Suhr L. ↑,
  • 81', Diaz G. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
  • 85', Saborido J. ↓, Orsini N. ↑,
  • 90+1', 1 - 1, Martinez R. ⚽, Vazquez I. (A),
  • 90+3', Acosta L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Platense
50%		Draw
30.7%		Sarmiento de Junín
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.8% 30.5% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 29.8% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Platense's performance.
  • Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarmiento de Junín might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Platense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarmiento de Junín could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Platense - Sarmiento de Junín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.9 ↓
    (2.25)    		 3.01 ↓
    (3.09)    		 4.9 ↑
    (3.4)    		 6.5%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Platense - Sarmiento de Junín?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Sarmiento (1.93) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Platense (1.79) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Platense will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Platense will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Platense (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Sarmiento (votes: 6 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platense won 4.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • In this match, Platense is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Platense won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 0.8:0.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Platense won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Platense - Sarmiento de Junín were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Sarmiento de Junín - Platense 0:1
    26.11.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Platense 1:0
    14.04.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Platense 0:1
    25.11.2023 Platense - Sarmiento de Junín 1:0
    09.07.2023 Platense - Sarmiento de Junín 1:0
    Latest results of Platense
    24.10.2025 Independiente - Platense 3:0 ✺
    19.10.2025 Rosario Central - Platense 1:0 ✺
    13.10.2025 Platense - Deportivo Riestra 1:1 ✺
    04.10.2025 Atlético Tucumán - Platense 2:0
    26.09.2025 Platense - San Martín de San Juan 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
    24.10.2025 Sarmiento de Junín - Rosario Central 0:1 ✺
    19.10.2025 Sarmiento de Junín - Vélez Sársfield 0:2 ✺
    12.10.2025 River Plate - Sarmiento de Junín 0:1 ✺
    04.10.2025 Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata 0:1 ✺
    27.09.2025 Talleres de Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín 1:0 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1264214:9522
    2Estudiantes L.P1263314:6821
    3Boca Juniors1255214:7720
    4Union de Santa Fe1254318:12619
    5Defensa y Justicia1247115:10519
    6Lanus1254317:14319
    7Talleres Cordoba1253412:11118
    8Independiente1245318:15317
    9San Lorenzo1245312:12017
    10Platense123636:7-115
    11Instituto1242613:15-214
    12Gimnasia Mendoza123369:15-612
    13Central Cordoba123366:15-912
    14Newells Old Boys1223710:23-139
    15Dep. Riestra120753:9-67


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1282220:12826
    2River Plate1272317:9823
    3Argentinos Jrs1265113:7623
    4Rosario Central1263314:10421
    5Belgrano1254312:12019
    6Racing Club1253415:11418
    7Tigre1245316:12417
    8Huracan1245312:9317
    9Barracas Central1244411:11016
    10Sarmiento Junin1251610:12-216
    11Gimnasia L.P1242613:18-514
    12Banfield1241714:16-213
    13Atl. Tucuman1223713:18-59
    14Aldosivi120663:13-106
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto121293:17-145

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