Result
2:1
19/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Italy | Sportitalia |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.26 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (426/503) | 71% (200/283) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (426/503) | 71% (200/283) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (25/44) | 40% (23/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (96/140) | 48% (32/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 5% (1/22) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.17 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (17/22) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.80 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 42', 1 - 0, Veliz A. ⚽, Fernandez P. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 60', Contrera J. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
- 60', Magnin P. ↓, Diego Churin ↑,
- 63', Sandez A. ↓, Soto A. ↑,
- 63', Fernandez J. ↓, Coronel E. ↑,
- 69', Fernandez P. ↓, Di Maria A. ↑,
- 70', Veliz A. ↓, Copetti E. ↑,
- 71', Pasquini N. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
- 76', Pizarro V. 🟨,
- 77', Gimenez E. ↓, Duarte G. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 1, Gomez J. ⚽, Marabel J. (A),
- 87', Martinez M. ↓, Alaggia F. ↑,
- 87', Marabel J. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 90+13', 2 - 1, Pizarro V. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Rosario Central
62.1% | Draw
25.3% | Sarmiento de Junín
12.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rosario Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rosario Central's performance.Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+2%)
Rosario Central - Sarmiento de Junín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↓
(1.61) |
3.68 ↑
(3.3) |
7.59 ↑
(6) |
6.2%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rosario Central - Sarmiento de Junín?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Sarmiento (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Rosario Central will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarmiento (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rosario won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Sarmiento may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Rosario is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Rosario: Di Maria A.
(Inactive)
Gimenez J.
(Knee Injury)
Komar J.
(Heart Problems)
Mallo Blanco F.
(Inactive)
Ruben M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Sarmiento: Godoy J.
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalez G.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Sarmiento: Renteria J.
(Injury)
Salle S.
(Injury)
Villalba C.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Rosario won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rosario won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Rosario Central won against Sarmiento de Junín?
Rosario Central has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sarmiento de Junín won against Rosario Central?
Sarmiento de Junín has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rosario Central - Sarmiento de Junín were as follows:
24.10.2025
Sarmiento de Junín
-
Rosario Central
0:1
22.02.2025
Rosario Central
-
Sarmiento de Junín
1:0
19.07.2024
Rosario Central
-
Sarmiento de Junín
4:2
03.03.2023
Sarmiento de Junín
-
Rosario Central
4:1
Latest results of Rosario Central
Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. ✔ | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors ✔ | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield ✔ | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 27 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba ✔ | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus ✔ | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Defensa y Justicia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Instituto | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 |
| 11 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14:26 | -12 | 14 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28:14 | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | River Plate ✔ | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 22:11 | 11 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs ✔ | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central ✔ | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 27 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 23 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 23 |
| 7 | Huracan | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 21 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 | Tigre | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 13:16 | -3 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 15 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 5:18 | -13 | 7 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5:22 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
