Result
16/04/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
AZ Alkmaar
48% | Draw
25.5% | Shakhtar Donetsk
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AZ Alkmaar's performance.Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shakhtar Donetsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AZ Alkmaar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
AZ Alkmaar - Shakhtar Donetsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↓
(2.43) |
3.76 ↑
(3.36) |
3.55 ↑
(2.91) |
5.4%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 0-3. Second leg.
- In recent matches, AZ has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Shakhtar is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, Shakhtar has had a series of home games.
- AZ might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, AZ won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).
- Including home match between the teams, AZ won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Shakhtar Donetsk?
AZ Alkmaar has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shakhtar Donetsk won against AZ Alkmaar?
Shakhtar Donetsk has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - Shakhtar Donetsk were as follows:
09.04.2026
Shakhtar Donetsk
-
AZ Alkmaar
3:0
08.07.2023
AZ Alkmaar
-
Shakhtar Donetsk
3:3
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Latest results of Shakhtar Donetsk
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | 2 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | 4 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | 2 : 1, 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | 1 : 0, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | 2 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | 1 : 1, 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Crystal Palace (10) | Fiorentina (15) | 3 : 0 |
| 3 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | AEK Athens (3) | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Mainz (7) | Strasbourg (1) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finalsFinal
