Tacoma Defiance vs North Texas: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Tacoma Defiance - North Texas
Result
2:3
25/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance - North Texas - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.921.44
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
71
Passes
80% (359/447)81% (333/410)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.921.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.290.92
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
3414
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
16
Free Kicks
137
Passes
80% (359/447)81% (333/410)
Long passes
50% (17/34)53% (31/58)
Passes in final third
70% (128/183)67% (42/63)
Crosses
29% (7/24)25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.570.68
Throw-ins
2823
Fouls
713
Tackles
67% (14/21)79% (22/28)
Duels won
5448
Clearances
1130
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.921.29
Goals prevented
-2.08-0.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', Charles I. 🟨,
  • 19', 0 - 1, Sarver S. , Ramirez A. (A),
  • 25', 1 - 1, Tsukanome Y. , Gomez S. (A), Brunell S. (A2)
  • 43', Alvaro Augusto 🟨,
  • 45+3', Leyva D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Hawkins S. , Burney L. ,
  • 46', Carli E. , Khoury J. ,
  • 46', De Rosario O. , Minoungou G. ,
  • 57', Brunell S. , Kingston P. ,
  • 61', Leyva D. , Dodzi C. ,
  • 74', 1 - 2, Sangare F. , Torquato J. (A),
  • 77', 1 - 3, Sarver S. (Pen),
  • 79', 2 - 3, Yamada K. , Burney L. (A),
  • 83', Kingston P. 🟨,
  • 85', Ramirez A. , Swann C. ,
  • 85', Contreras J. , Baran D. ,
  • 88', Sangare F. 🟥,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tacoma Defiance
53.3%
Draw
22.4%
North Texas
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.1% 22.2% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6% 22.8% 22.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • North Texas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Texas than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Tacoma Defiance - North Texas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.68)
    4.19
    (4.17)
    3.84
    (4.07)
    6.9%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Tacoma Defiance - North Texas?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tacoma (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 3.
    • Recent performances by Tacoma have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • North Texas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • North Texas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Tacoma is the team to beat.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.8:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tacoma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - North Texas were as follows:
    26.10.2024 North Texas - Tacoma Defiance 4:1
    14.04.2024 North Texas - Tacoma Defiance 2:1
    19.08.2023 North Texas - Tacoma Defiance 2:3
    09.07.2023 Tacoma Defiance - North Texas 3:0
    Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
    Latest results of North Texas
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2151012238:2634
    2Philadelphia Union II13642128:1128
    3Chicago Fire II14622427:2424
    4Toronto FC II14603516:1821
    5New York City II15522628:3121
    6New England Revolution II13441419:1721
    7Cincinnati 214250713:2116
    8Columbus Crew 213312713:2413


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga15822324:2030
    2Huntsville13532327:1623
    3Orlando City B15611721:2721
    4Crown Legacy14333521:2518
    5Inter Miami II16502925:3517
    6Carolina Core15324620:2117
    7Atlanta United 213224519:2314


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County16911530:2430
    2Vancouver Whitecaps 216630735:3124
    3Tacoma Defiance14620634:3222
    4Real Monarchs12523224:1922
    5Town FC13522428:1821
    6Los Angeles FC II15511823:3118
    7Portland Timbers 214412722:3116


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2151010429:2132
    2North Texas16721628:3126
    3Colorado Rapids 216703626:2524
    4Austin FC II15533417:1624
    5Houston Dynamo 215531621:2122
    6Minnesota 214602623:2020
    7Sporting Kansas City II1301399:295


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2151012238:2634
    2Chattanooga15822324:2030
    3Philadelphia Union II13642128:1128
    4Chicago Fire II14622427:2424
    5Huntsville13532327:1623
    6Toronto FC II14603516:1821
    7Orlando City B15611721:2721
    8New York City II15522628:3121
    9New England Revolution II13441419:1721
    10Crown Legacy14333521:2518
    11Inter Miami II16502925:3517
    12Carolina Core15324620:2117
    13Cincinnati 214250713:2116
    14Atlanta United 213224519:2314
    15Columbus Crew 213312713:2413


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2151010429:2132
    2Ventura County16911530:2430
    3North Texas16721628:3126
    4Colorado Rapids 216703626:2524
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 216630735:3124
    6Austin FC II15533417:1624
    7Tacoma Defiance14620634:3222
    8Real Monarchs12523224:1922
    9Houston Dynamo 215531621:2122
    10Town FC13522428:1821
    11Minnesota 214602623:2020
    12Los Angeles FC II15511823:3118
    13Portland Timbers 214412722:3116
    14Sporting Kansas City II1301399:295

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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