Portland Timbers 2 vs Tacoma Defiance – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
24/08/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.631.64
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
2212
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
93% (550/591)84% (330/395)
Yellow Cards
25
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.631.64
xG on target (xGOT)
1.790.17
Total shots
2212
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
115
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
129
Shots outside the Box
103
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
1733
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
1611
Passes
93% (550/591)84% (330/395)
Long passes
58% (22/38)56% (22/39)
Passes in final third
89% (89/100)64% (72/112)
Crosses
15% (2/13)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.501.24
Throw-ins
1317
Fouls
1116
Tackles
86% (6/7)43% (6/14)
Duels won
3034
Clearances
2512
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
17
xGOT faced
0.171.79
Goals prevented
-0.83-0.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Santos N. , Jura S. (A), Linhares K. (A2)
  • 12', 1 - 1, Tsukanome Y. ,
  • 18', Gomez S. 🟨,
  • 42', Khoury J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Alvarez D. , Gaffney C. ,
  • 46', Khoury J. , Hassan O. ,
  • 52', Yamada K. 🟨,
  • 54', Yamada K. 🟨,
  • 56', McGraw Z. 🟨,
  • 57', Carli E. , Robles D. ,
  • 59', Santos N. 🟨,
  • 64', 2 - 1, Linhares K. , Pope B. (A), Velazquez V. (A2)
  • 65', Moreno A. , Izoita E. ,
  • 65', Marquinhos , Nunez D. ,
  • 67', Tsukanome Y. , Dodzi C. ,
  • 72', Hassan O. 🟨,
  • 73', Santos N. , Bunbury M. ,
  • 73', Velazquez V. , Johnston M. ,
  • 83', Sousa T. , Diaw B. ,
  • 86', Linhares K. , Gallardo S. ,

Chances of winning


Portland Timbers 2
41.8%
Draw
21.8%
Tacoma Defiance
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 21.9% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 20.8% 33.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Timbers 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Tacoma Defiance has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers 2 than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Portland Timbers 2 - Tacoma Defiance Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (1.97)
    4.31
    (4.15)
    2.58
    (2.86)
    6.6%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for Portland Timbers 2 - Tacoma Defiance?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Portland 2 (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.25 - Portland 2 (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Portland 2 (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland 2 won 3.
    • Recent performances by Portland 2 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Tacoma is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Tacoma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portland 2 won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 38:40. (average 1.9:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portland 2 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 2.5:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Timbers 2 - Tacoma Defiance were as follows:
    27.07.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers 2 1:2
    18.05.2025 Portland Timbers 2 - Tacoma Defiance 2:1
    08.09.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers 2 5:2
    30.06.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers 2 1:0
    10.05.2024 Portland Timbers 2 - Tacoma Defiance 4:1
    Latest results of Portland Timbers 2
    Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II5302011:511
    2Philadelphia Union II531018:411
    3Columbus Crew 26310210:911
    4New England Revolution II522016:410
    5Connecticut FC520038:116
    6Toronto FC II5102210:75
    7Cincinnati 2510043:83
    8New York City II401121:73


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy6510022:617
    2Chattanooga6301213:1110
    3Atlanta United 2630129:810
    4Chicago Fire II513014:49
    5Orlando City B5210211:138
    6Huntsville511128:146
    7Inter Miami II601236:144
    8Carolina Core500235:102


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County6320111:713
    2San Jose Earthquakes II5301110:410
    3Real Monarchs5220112:810
    4Vancouver Whitecaps 26201310:127
    5Los Angeles FC 25112110:127
    6Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    7Tacoma Defiance601143:103


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 26420016:616
    2Houston Dynamo 25410014:114
    3North Texas6211211:99
    4Austin FC II520217:78
    5Minnesota 2520036:86
    6Sporting Kansas City II701155:203
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    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy6510022:617
    2New York Red Bulls II5302011:511
    3Philadelphia Union II531018:411
    4Columbus Crew 26310210:911
    5Chattanooga6301213:1110
    6Atlanta United 2630129:810
    7New England Revolution II522016:410
    8Chicago Fire II513014:49
    9Orlando City B5210211:138
    10Connecticut FC520038:116
    11Huntsville511128:146
    12Toronto FC II5102210:75
    13Inter Miami II601236:144
    14Cincinnati 2510043:83
    15New York City II401121:73
    16Carolina Core500235:102


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 26420016:616
    2Houston Dynamo 25410014:114
    3Ventura County6320111:713
    4San Jose Earthquakes II5301110:410
    5Real Monarchs5220112:810
    6North Texas6211211:99
    7Austin FC II520217:78
    8Vancouver Whitecaps 26201310:127
    9Los Angeles FC 25112110:127
    10Minnesota 2520036:86
    11Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    12Tacoma Defiance601143:103
    13Sporting Kansas City II701155:203
    14Colorado Rapids 2500236:132

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