Portland Timbers 2 vs Tacoma Defiance – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/08/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Providence Park (Portland, OR).

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Where to Watch on TV:


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Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.63	1.64
Ball Possession
59%	41%
Total shots
22	12
Shots on target
9	2
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
4	6
Passes
93% (550/591)	84% (330/395)
Yellow Cards
2	5
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63	1.64
xG on target (xGOT)
1.79	0.17
Total shots
22	12
Shots on target
9	2
Shots off target
11	5
Blocked Shots
2	5
Shots inside the Box
12	9
Shots outside the Box
10	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
17	33
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
5	0
Free Kicks
16	11
Passes
93% (550/591)	84% (330/395)
Long passes
58% (22/38)	56% (22/39)
Passes in final third
89% (89/100)	64% (72/112)
Crosses
15% (2/13)	12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.50	1.24
Throw-ins
13	17
Fouls
11	16
Tackles
86% (6/7)	43% (6/14)
Duels won
30	34
Clearances
25	12
Interceptions
8	5
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	7
xGOT faced
0.17	1.79
Goals prevented
-0.83	-0.21

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Santos N. ⚽, Jura S. (A), Linhares K. (A2)
12', 1 - 1, Tsukanome Y. ⚽,
18', Gomez S. 🟨,
42', Khoury J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Alvarez D. ↓, Gaffney C. ↑,
46', Khoury J. ↓, Hassan O. ↑,
52', Yamada K. 🟨,
54', Yamada K. 🟨,
56', McGraw Z. 🟨,
57', Carli E. ↓, Robles D. ↑,
59', Santos N. 🟨,
64', 2 - 1, Linhares K. ⚽, Pope B. (A), Velazquez V. (A2)
65', Moreno A. ↓, Izoita E. ↑,
65', Marquinhos ↓, Nunez D. ↑,
67', Tsukanome Y. ↓, Dodzi C. ↑,
72', Hassan O. 🟨,
73', Santos N. ↓, Bunbury M. ↑,
73', Velazquez V. ↓, Johnston M. ↑,
83', Sousa T. ↓, Diaw B. ↑,
86', Linhares K. ↓, Gallardo S. ↑,

Chances of winning

Portland Timbers 2
41.8%

Draw
21.8%

Tacoma Defiance
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

21.9%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

20.8%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portland Timbers 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Tacoma Defiance has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers 2 than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Portland Timbers 2 - Tacoma Defiance Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.97)	4.31 ↑ (4.15)	2.58 ↓ (2.86)	6.6% (9.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

What is the prediction for Portland Timbers 2 - Tacoma Defiance?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Portland 2 (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.25 - Portland 2 (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Portland 2 (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:2.

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland 2 won 3.
Recent performances by Portland 2 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Tacoma is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Tacoma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portland 2 won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 38:40. (average 1.9:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Portland 2 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 2.5:2.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Portland Timbers 2 won against Tacoma Defiance?

Portland Timbers 2 has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Tacoma Defiance won against Portland Timbers 2?

Tacoma Defiance has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Timbers 2 - Tacoma Defiance were as follows:

27.07.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers 2 1:2

18.05.2025 Portland Timbers 2 - Tacoma Defiance 2:1

08.09.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers 2 5:2

30.06.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers 2 1:0

10.05.2024 Portland Timbers 2 - Tacoma Defiance 4:1

Latest results of Portland Timbers 2

20.08.2025 Colorado Rapids 2 - Portland Timbers 2 1:0 ✺

09.08.2025 Ventura County - Portland Timbers 2 3:2 ✺

03.08.2025 Portland Timbers 2 - Real Monarchs 1:2 ✺

27.07.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers 2 1:2 ✺

18.07.2025 Portland Timbers 2 - Minnesota United 2 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Tacoma Defiance

15.08.2025 Minnesota United 2 - Tacoma Defiance 2:1 ✺

10.08.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Los Angeles 2 4:2 ✺

01.08.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County 4:6 ✺

27.07.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers 2 1:2 ✺

20.07.2025 Colorado Rapids 2 - Tacoma Defiance 6:4 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2026

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls II	8	6	0	2	0	20:8	20
2	Columbus Crew 2	9	5	1	0	3	16:15	17
3	Philadelphia Union II	8	4	1	0	3	11:8	14
4	Toronto FC II	8	3	0	2	3	13:13	11
5	New England Revolution II	7	2	2	1	2	7:6	11
6	Connecticut FC	8	2	1	0	5	10:15	8
7	Cincinnati 2	7	2	0	0	5	9:11	6
8	New York City II	6	1	1	1	3	4:10	6

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Crown Legacy	9	6	2	1	0	27:10	23
2	Atlanta United 2	8	5	0	1	2	14:9	16
3	Orlando City B	8	2	3	1	2	17:19	13
4	Huntsville	7	3	1	1	2	14:16	12
5	Chattanooga	8	3	0	1	4	13:14	10
6	Chicago Fire II	7	1	3	1	2	6:9	10
7	Carolina Core	8	0	1	3	4	10:16	5
8	Inter Miami II	8	0	1	2	5	9:21	4

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Ventura County	9	3	2	1	3	14:13	14
2	San Jose Earthquakes II	7	4	0	1	2	14:7	13
3	Portland Timbers 2	7	3	1	2	1	8:8	13
4	Los Angeles FC 2	9	3	1	2	3	15:19	13
5	Real Monarchs	7	2	2	0	3	12:12	10
6	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	9	2	1	1	5	14:18	9
7	Tacoma Defiance	9	1	2	1	5	10:15	8

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Houston Dynamo 2	8	7	1	0	0	20:3	23
2	St. Louis City 2	9	6	2	1	0	20:8	23
3	Minnesota 2	8	4	1	0	3	9:9	14
4	Austin FC II	7	3	1	2	1	10:8	13
5	North Texas	9	2	2	1	4	13:14	11
6	Sporting Kansas City II	10	1	1	2	6	11:26	7
7	Colorado Rapids 2	8	0	0	3	5	9:19	3

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Crown Legacy	9	6	2	1	0	27:10	23
2	New York Red Bulls II	8	6	0	2	0	20:8	20
3	Columbus Crew 2	9	5	1	0	3	16:15	17
4	Atlanta United 2	8	5	0	1	2	14:9	16
5	Philadelphia Union II	8	4	1	0	3	11:8	14
6	Orlando City B	8	2	3	1	2	17:19	13
7	Huntsville	7	3	1	1	2	14:16	12
8	Toronto FC II	8	3	0	2	3	13:13	11
9	New England Revolution II	7	2	2	1	2	7:6	11
10	Chattanooga	8	3	0	1	4	13:14	10
11	Chicago Fire II	7	1	3	1	2	6:9	10
12	Connecticut FC	8	2	1	0	5	10:15	8
13	Cincinnati 2	7	2	0	0	5	9:11	6
14	New York City II	6	1	1	1	3	4:10	6
15	Carolina Core	8	0	1	3	4	10:16	5
16	Inter Miami II	8	0	1	2	5	9:21	4

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Houston Dynamo 2	8	7	1	0	0	20:3	23
2	St. Louis City 2	9	6	2	1	0	20:8	23
3	Minnesota 2	8	4	1	0	3	9:9	14
4	Ventura County	9	3	2	1	3	14:13	14
5	San Jose Earthquakes II	7	4	0	1	2	14:7	13
6	Austin FC II	7	3	1	2	1	10:8	13
7	Portland Timbers 2	7	3	1	2	1	8:8	13
8	Los Angeles FC 2	9	3	1	2	3	15:19	13
9	North Texas	9	2	2	1	4	13:14	11
10	Real Monarchs	7	2	2	0	3	12:12	10
11	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	9	2	1	1	5	14:18	9
12	Tacoma Defiance	9	1	2	1	5	10:15	8
13	Sporting Kansas City II	10	1	1	2	6	11:26	7
14	Colorado Rapids 2	8	0	0	3	5	9:19	3

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