Belgrano vs Estudiantes La Plata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
11/10/2025 at 21:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 12
  • Referee: Ferreyra B. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.351.58
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
519
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
310
Passes
73% (247/337)85% (377/442)
Yellow Cards
30
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.351.58
xG on target (xGOT)
0.651.21
Total shots
519
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
18
Blocked Shots
05
Shots inside the Box
213
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
310
Touches in opposition box
829
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
69
Passes
73% (247/337)85% (377/442)
Long passes
44% (28/63)50% (25/50)
Passes in final third
53% (39/73)75% (87/116)
Crosses
6% (1/16)40% (10/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.151.71
Throw-ins
1725
Fouls
96
Tackles
81% (21/26)40% (4/10)
Duels won
4946
Clearances
2522
Interceptions
515
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
1.210.65
Goals prevented
1.21-0.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 42', Jara F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Ostchega T. , Baldi A. ,
  • 56', Perez Fabricio , Castro A. ,
  • 68', 1 - 0, Fernandez N. , Compagnucci G. (A),
  • 74', Sanchez U. , Heredia G. ,
  • 75', Amondarain M. , Gabriel Neves ,
  • 76', Palacios T. , Farias F. ,
  • 76', Medina C. , Cetre E. ,
  • 86', Fernandez N. , Passerini L. ,
  • 87', Gonzalez F. , Menossi L. ,
  • 90+1', Mavilla J. , Zelarayan G. ,
  • 90+1', Arzamendia S. , Sosa J. ,
  • 90+3', Heredia G. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 1, Compagnucci G. (Own goal),
  • 90+7', Menossi L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Belgrano
36.5%
Draw
32%
Estudiantes La Plata
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 31.2% 28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 30.4% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Belgrano - Estudiantes La Plata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (2.33)
    2.93
    (2.98)
    3
    (3.23)
    6.1%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Belgrano - Estudiantes La Plata?
  • Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Belgrano will win (votes: 5 - 12.2%). Estudiantes will win (votes: 30 - 73.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 14.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Estudiantes: 59.6%86.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Estudiantes (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH -3 - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Estudiantes La Plata will win (26 of 28 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Belgrano (votes: 2 - 6.9%). Estudiantes (votes: 27 - 93.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 2.
    • Belgrano is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Estudiantes has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Belgrano: Heredia G. (Inactive) Ricca F. (Muscle Injury) Velazquez J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Estudiantes: Benedetti G. (Knee Injury) Burgos J. (Pelvis Injury) Gonzalez Pirez L. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:20. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Belgrano won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Belgrano - Estudiantes La Plata were as follows:
    04.04.2025 Estudiantes La Plata - Belgrano 0:1
    09.12.2024 Belgrano - Estudiantes La Plata 2:2
    28.01.2024 Estudiantes La Plata - Belgrano 1:0
    17.08.2023 Belgrano - Estudiantes La Plata 2:1
    22.07.2023 Estudiantes La Plata - Belgrano 4:0
    Latest results of Belgrano
    Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1264214:9522
    2Estudiantes L.P1263314:6821
    3Boca Juniors1255214:7720
    4Union de Santa Fe1254318:12619
    5Defensa y Justicia1247115:10519
    6Lanus1254317:14319
    7Talleres Cordoba1253412:11118
    8Independiente1245318:15317
    9San Lorenzo1245312:12017
    10Platense123636:7-115
    11Instituto1242613:15-214
    12Gimnasia Mendoza123369:15-612
    13Central Cordoba123366:15-912
    14Newells Old Boys1223710:23-139
    15Dep. Riestra120753:9-67


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1282220:12826
    2River Plate1272317:9823
    3Argentinos Jrs1265113:7623
    4Belgrano1364313:12122
    5Rosario Central1263314:10421
    6Racing Club1253415:11418
    7Tigre1245316:12417
    8Huracan1245312:9317
    9Barracas Central1244411:11016
    10Sarmiento Junin1251610:12-216
    11Gimnasia L.P1242613:18-514
    12Banfield1241714:16-213
    13Atl. Tucuman1223713:18-59
    14Aldosivi130673:14-116
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto121293:17-145

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)