Newport County vs Accrington Stanley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two
Result
1:4
27/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 29
  • Referee: Durkin J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.111.04
Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
56
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
32
Passes
70% (297/425)56% (177/316)
Yellow cards
45
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.111.04
xG on target (xGOT)
1.241.83
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
64
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
810
Shots outside the box
33
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
2017
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free kicks
127
Passes
70% (297/425)56% (177/316)
Long passes
31% (30/98)17% (14/81)
Passes in final third
47% (57/122)53% (61/116)
Crosses
38% (6/16)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.240.67
Throw ins
3925
Fouls
712
Tackles
80% (4/5)62% (16/26)
Duels won
6477
Clearances
2035
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
23
xGOT faced
1.831.24
Goals prevented
-2.170.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Henderson A. ⚽, Whalley S. (A),
  • 28', Matthews D. 🟨,
  • 32', Grant C. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 1, Opoku N. ⚽, Biggins H. (A),
  • 40', O'Brien C. 🟨,
  • 45', Smith M. ↓, Lloyd B. ↑,
  • 45+1', Spellman M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 51', 1 - 2, Sinclair I. ⚽, Whalley S. (A),
  • 56', Grant C. ↓, Conneely S. ↑,
  • 56', O'Brien C. ↓, Sass F. ↑,
  • 58', Lloyd B. 🟨,
  • 65', Opoku N. 🟨,
  • 65', Spellman M. ↓, Crole J. ↑,
  • 69', Opoku N. 🟨,
  • 71', Henderson A. ↓, Butterfield L. ↑,
  • 80', Thomas J. ↓, Jenkins L. ↑,
  • 80', Kamwa B. ↓, Nyakuhwa T. ↑,
  • 80', Driscoll-Glennon A. ↓, Davies T. ↑,
  • 82', 1 - 3, Madden P. ⚽, Sinclair I. (A),
  • 84', Madden P. ↓, Woods J. ↑,
  • 90+2', 1 - 4, Heath I. ⚽, Butterfield L. (A),
  • 90+6', Rawson F. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Conneely S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Newport County
30.5%		Draw
29%		Accrington Stanley
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.5% 29.6% 37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2% 29.4% 38.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
    •

    Newport County - Accrington Stanley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.05 ↑
    (2.82)    		 3.22 ↑
    (3.1)    		 2.3 ↓
    (2.42)    		 7.2%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Newport County - Accrington Stanley?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Accrington will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Accrington: 30.4% – 86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Newport (votes: 2 - 40%). Accrington (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Accrington (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Newport (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Accrington (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 2.
    • Newport has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Accrington is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Accrington might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Newport: Garner G. (Inactive) Patten K. (Broken Leg)
    • There will not play in Accrington: Hall C. (Inactive) Mooney K. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Accrington: Bauress J. (Inactive) Walton T. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Newport won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:24. (average 1.6:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Accrington Stanley were as follows:
    11.10.2025 Accrington Stanley - Newport County 0:1
    11.03.2025 Accrington Stanley - Newport County 5:0
    24.08.2024 Newport County - Accrington Stanley 3:1
    09.04.2024 Newport County - Accrington Stanley 1:3
    05.08.2023 Accrington Stanley - Newport County 3:0
    Latest results of Newport County
    24.01.2026 Newport County - Chesterfield 2:1 ✺
    17.01.2026 Gillingham - Newport County 3:2 ✺
    01.01.2026 Bromley - Newport County 2:1 ✺
    29.12.2025 Newport County - Crewe Alexandra 2:0 ✺
    26.12.2025 Newport County - Barnet 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Accrington Stanley
    24.01.2026 Walsall - Accrington Stanley 0:0 ✺
    17.01.2026 Accrington Stanley - Milton Keynes Dons 0:2 ✺
    04.01.2026 Colchester United - Accrington Stanley Postponed ✺
    01.01.2026 Notts County - Accrington Stanley 0:1 ✺
    29.12.2025 Accrington Stanley - Harrogate Town 1:0 ✺
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley341911458:352368
    2Cambridge Utd341810649:272264
    3MK Dons341711663:342962
    4Swindon351951157:411662
    5Notts Co34187952:331961
    6Crewe351681152:411156
    7Salford331741246:43355
    8Chesterfield341314752:44853
    9Barnet3514111044:37753
    10Walsall331581042:36653
    11Grimsby331410946:37952
    12Colchester3313101048:351349
    13Accrington341371437:36146
    14Oldham321112936:30645
    15Fleetwood331291243:42145
    16Gillingham3311111141:41044
    17Shrewsbury351081734:54-2038
    18Cheltenham331061734:55-2136
    19Tranmere34981746:59-1335
    20Bristol Rovers34942133:57-2431
    21Crawley356101933:56-2328
    22Barrow33762033:51-1827
    23Harrogate35692025:52-2727
    24Newport34672132:60-2825

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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