Belenenses vs Estoril Praia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Taça de Portugal Belenenses - Estoril Praia
Result
1:2
19/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Taça de Portugal - 1/32-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', Souza E. 🟨,
  • 27', 0 - 1, Pizzi (Pen),
  • 45+1', Holsgrove J. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Morgado T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Ferro , Boma K. ,
  • 50', 1 - 1, Souza E. ,
  • 60', Garcia F. , Carvalho P. ,
  • 60', Brito T. , Lominadze N. ,
  • 60', Pizzi , Begraoui Y. ,
  • 68', Tsoungui A. , Peixinho ,
  • 68', Sambu M. , David Rebelo ,
  • 75', Souza E. , Paredes J. ,
  • 75', Horta Leitao D. , Eduardo W. ,
  • 85', Paulo D. 🟨,
  • 87', 🟨,
  • 90', Teixeira J. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Barros E. , Afonso A. ,
  • 90+1', Paulo D. , Machado J. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 2, Lacximicant A. ,
  • 90+7', Costa G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Belenenses
30.4%
Draw
33.7%
Estoril Praia
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.9% 28.1% 40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2% 26.2% 37.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Belenenses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Belenenses - Estoril Praia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.22
    (2.79)
    2.74
    (3.16)
    2.85
    (2.22)
    2.6%
    (12.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Belenenses has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Estoril is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Estoril may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Estoril is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Belenenses won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Belenenses - Estoril Praia were as follows:
    29.07.2023 Estoril Praia - Belenenses 5:1
    Latest results of Belenenses
    11.10.2025 Belenenses - Covilhã 3:0
    04.10.2025 Belenenses - Caldas 0:2
    28.09.2025 Amora - Belenenses 0:2
    20.09.2025 Belenenses - Marítimo 2:0
    Latest results of Estoril Praia