Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay Rowdies: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship
Soccer USL Championship Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Tampa Bay Rowdies
Result
2:1
21/06/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Tampa Bay Rowdies - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.66
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
75% (256/340)79% (355/447)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.300.10
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
67
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
2611
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
913
Passes
75% (256/340)79% (355/447)
Long passes
35% (23/66)40% (33/82)
Passes in final third
63% (70/112)58% (64/110)
Crosses
29% (6/21)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.910.38
Throw-ins
2018
Fouls
139
Tackles
80% (8/10)83% (10/12)
Duels won
3744
Clearances
2323
Interceptions
513
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.101.30
Goals prevented
-0.900.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Vancaeyezeele T. (Own goal),
  • 20', 2 - 0, Williams A. ⚽, Biasi L. (A),
  • 40', 2 - 1, Arteaga M. ⚽, Bassett O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 52', Suber S. 🟨,
  • 66', Pacius W. 🟨,
  • 68', Ahl C. ↓, Griffin D. ↑,
  • 68', Jacquesson B. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
  • 72', Wyke L. ↓, Skinner J. ↑,
  • 72', Bodily B. ↓, Moon N. ↑,
  • 76', Ydrach R. ↓, Etou B. ↑,
  • 81', Vancaeyezeele T. ↓, Crisostomo D. ↑,
  • 88', Mertz R. ↓, Broughton M. ↑,
  • 90', Bassett O. ↓, Mustali E. ↑,
  • 90+4', Biasi L. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Arteaga M. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Pittsburgh Riverhounds
49.6%		Draw
28%		Tampa Bay Rowdies
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.8% 27.4% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6% 26.6% 31.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pittsburgh Riverhounds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pittsburgh Riverhounds's performance.
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tampa Bay Rowdies might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Riverhounds than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pittsburgh Riverhounds that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tampa Bay Rowdies could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Tampa Bay Rowdies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.86 ↓
    (2.21)    		 3.3 ↓
    (3.38)    		 4.13 ↑
    (3)    		 8.2%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Tampa Bay Rowdies?
  • Users Predictions: Pittsburgh Riverhounds will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pittsburgh Riverhounds will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Pittsburgh might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Tampa Bay Rowdies were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2:1
    06.04.2024 Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Tampa Bay Rowdies 0:0
    07.10.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0:2
    05.08.2023 Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:0
    Latest results of Pittsburgh Riverhounds
    14.06.2025 Indy Eleven - Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1:0
    07.06.2025 Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Detroit City 2:0 ✺
    31.05.2025 Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Rhode Island 0:1
    24.05.2025 Rhode Island - Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0:1
    21.05.2025 Philadelphia Union - Pittsburgh Riverhounds 4:1 ✺
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
    14.06.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Miami 2:1
    07.06.2025 Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:1
    31.05.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - South Georgia Tormenta 2:1
    24.05.2025 Lexington - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:1
    17.05.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Rhode Island 0:3
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston17122335:161938
    2Louisville City16114129:121737
    3Loudoun1582524:20426
    4North Carolina1572621:18323
    5Pittsburgh1462612:12020
    6Indy Eleven1555524:24020
    7Detroit1655620:22-220
    8Miami FC1553716:21-518
    9Birmingham1746719:24-518
    10Rhode Island1644814:18-416
    11Hartford Athletic1333715:20-512
    12Tampa Bay15321016:25-911


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Antonio1683523:21227
    2New Mexico1581622:17525
    3FC Tulsa1474321:14725
    4Sacramento Republic1565422:121023
    5Phoenix Rising1665526:26023
    6El Paso1665524:25-123
    7Monterey Bay1764718:21-322
    8Las Vegas Lights1653813:24-1118
    9Lexington1646617:23-618
    10Orange County SC1452718:22-417
    11Oakland Roots1652917:25-817
    12Colorado Springs1536618:22-415

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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