Result
Postponed
01/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 20
Chances of winning
Leiria
53.8% | Draw
26.4% | Paços de Ferreira
19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Leiria - Paços de Ferreira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(1.78) |
3.52
(3.52) |
4.63 ↑
(4.48) |
8.3%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiria won 1.
- Recent performances by Leiria have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Paços de Ferreira is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Leiria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Leiria is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Leiria won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.7:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leiria won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Leiria won against Paços de Ferreira?
Leiria has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paços de Ferreira won against Leiria?
Paços de Ferreira has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leiria - Paços de Ferreira were as follows:
23.08.2025
Paços de Ferreira
-
Leiria
0:0
25.04.2025
Paços de Ferreira
-
Leiria
2:3
14.12.2024
Leiria
-
Paços de Ferreira
0:1
22.12.2023
Leiria
-
Paços de Ferreira
1:1
12.08.2023
Paços de Ferreira
-
Leiria
0:0
Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 38:19 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 37:23 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | FC Porto B | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 5 | Torreense | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 6 | Leiria | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Vizela | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Feirense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 32 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Chaves | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 21:23 | -2 | 28 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 | Oliveirense | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Portimonense | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
