Result
0:2
14/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 5
- Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (327/387) | 80% (210/264) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 2.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (327/387) | 80% (210/264) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (30/57) | 47% (20/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (45/72) | 72% (60/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 33', 0 - 1, Oliveira N. ⚽, Abascal R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Rodrigo Pinho ↓, Stoica I. ↑,
- 53', Nogueira G. ↓, Mitrovic M. ↑,
- 64', Oliveira N. ↓, Saviolo N. ↑,
- 71', Encada J. 🟨,
- 74', Bernardo Schappo ↓, Meireles J. ↑,
- 75', Arcanjo T. ↓, Ndoye A. ↑,
- 75', Nogueira M. ↓, Santos N. ↑,
- 81', Kikas ↓, Gastao J. ↑,
- 81', Robinho ↓, Godoy A. ↑,
- 86', Stoica I. 🟨,
- 90', 0 - 2, Ndoye A. ⚽, Saviolo N. (A),
- 90+2', Marcus A. ↓, Antonetti L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Estrela da Amadora
30.3% | Draw
30.8% | Vitoria Guimarães
39% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitoria Guimarães might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitoria Guimarães could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Estrela da Amadora - Vitoria Guimarães Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.13 ↓
(3.52) |
3.05 ↓
(3.33) |
2.43 ↑
(2.09) |
5.9%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Estrela da Amadora - Vitoria Guimarães?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Estrela will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Guimarães will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Guimarães (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Estrela may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Guimarães: Samu
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Estrela: Kikas
(Inactive)
Montoia G.
(Injury)
Ngom O.
(Inactive)
Nilton
(Foot Injury)
Rodrigo Pinho
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Estrela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.5:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Estrela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against Vitoria Guimarães?
Estrela da Amadora has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Estrela da Amadora?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estrela da Amadora - Vitoria Guimarães were as follows:
27.10.2024
Estrela da Amadora
-
Vitoria Guimarães
2:2
21.01.2024
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Estrela da Amadora
3:0
13.08.2023
Estrela da Amadora
-
Vitoria Guimarães
0:1
Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 | 15 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15:4 | 11 | 12 |
| 3 | Moreirense | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Benfica | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Braga | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 8 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Estoril | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Santa Clara | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 5 |
| 12 | Arouca | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:13 | -6 | 5 |
| 13 | Nacional | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 4 |
| 14 | Alverca | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7:9 | -2 | 3 |
| 16 | Estrela | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | AFS | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 1 |
| 18 | Tondela | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:10 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
