Result
2:1
19/01/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 18
- Referee: Brazao M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', Chriso 🟨,
- 38', Ferigra E. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 0, Pavlic I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 60', Fonte R. 🟨,
- 63', Welton 🟨,
- 63', Welton ↓, Lumungo R. ↑,
- 66', Iheanacho S. ↓, Monteiro V. ↑,
- 66', Chriso ↓, Djabi A. ↑,
- 66', Fale M. ↓, Precatado J. ↑,
- 76', Fonte R. ↓, Morozov V. ↑,
- 76', Costinha ↓, Mota ↑,
- 83', 2 - 0, Morozov V. ⚽, Lumungo R. (A),
- 84', Nibe A. ↓, Passi B. ↑,
- 84', Maiga Y. ↓, Kamara A. ↑,
- 88', Paulo M. ↓, Icaro ↑,
- 90', 2 - 1, Monteiro V. ⚽, Etim F. (A),
- 90+4', Pavlic I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paços de Ferreira
38.7% | Draw
30.2% | Mafra
31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Paços de Ferreira - Mafra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↑
(2.33) |
3.03 ↓
(3.25) |
2.97 ↑
(2.97) |
8.6%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Paços de Ferreira - Mafra?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Mafra will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paços de Ferreira: 4% – 71%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)).
- Recent matches Paços de Ferreira is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Mafra is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Mafra could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Paços de Ferreira won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Paços de Ferreira won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Paços de Ferreira won against Mafra?
Paços de Ferreira has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mafra won against Paços de Ferreira?
Mafra has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paços de Ferreira - Mafra were as follows:
10.08.2024
Mafra
-
Paços de Ferreira
0:1
28.01.2024
Paços de Ferreira
-
Mafra
0:1
19.08.2023
Mafra
-
Paços de Ferreira
2:1
Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
