Result
1:0
14/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 21
- Referee: Kobberrod J. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.60 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (270/353) | 85% (488/573) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.97 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (270/353) | 85% (488/573) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (20/60) | 49% (25/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (90/141) | 75% (109/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 0% (0/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.62 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (19/26) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.97 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Jacobsen M. 🟨,
- 45', Andersson A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Makolli E. ↓, Olsson C. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 0, Andreasen S. ⚽,
- 56', Hansen K. ↓, Kubel M. ↑,
- 61', Hyltoft Z. 🟨,
- 70', John K. ↓, Adedeji J. ↑,
- 73', Hansen T. ↓, Hauge R. ↑,
- 73', Huldahl M. ↓, Bruhn M. ↑,
- 83', Arnorsson N. ↓, Nielsen M. ↑,
- 83', Moller V. ↓, Borsting F. ↑,
- 89', Tiedemann B. 🟨,
- 90+4', Dakir J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hobro
27% | Draw
27.1% | Aalborg BK
46% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hobro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Aalborg BK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hobro than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hobro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalborg BK than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aalborg BK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hobro - Aalborg BK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.44 ↑
(2.89) |
3.45 ↓
(3.55) |
2.04 ↓
(2.21) |
7.2%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Hobro - Aalborg BK?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Aalborg (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Aalborg BK will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).
- Hobro is 1st Division (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hobro won 3.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- Aalborg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hobro won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:30. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hobro won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 0.7:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Hobro won against Aalborg BK?
Hobro has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aalborg BK won against Hobro?
Aalborg BK has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hobro - Aalborg BK were as follows:
01.08.2025
Aalborg BK
-
Hobro
1:1
29.06.2024
Hobro
-
Aalborg BK
1:1
05.05.2024
Aalborg BK
-
Hobro
2:3
12.04.2024
Hobro
-
Aalborg BK
2:1
26.11.2023
Aalborg BK
-
Hobro
1:2
Latest results of Aalborg BK
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyngby ✔ | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 46:22 | 24 | 41 |
| 2 | Hvidovre IF ✔ | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 30:23 | 7 | 36 |
| 3 | Esbjerg ✔ | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 36 |
| 4 | Hillerod ✔ | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32:29 | 3 | 34 |
| 5 | Horsens | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 30 |
| 6 | Kolding IF | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 26:23 | 3 | 30 |
| 7 | B.93 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 26:33 | -7 | 28 |
| 8 | Aarhus Fremad | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 32:26 | 6 | 27 |
| 9 | Aalborg | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 27 |
| 10 | Hobro ✔ | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Koge ✔ | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 23:38 | -15 | 19 |
| 12 | Middelfart ✔ | 21 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 21:43 | -22 | 12 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lyngby is Qualified for 1st Division (Promotion Group )
Hvidovre IF is Qualified for 1st Division (Promotion Group )
Esbjerg is Qualified for 1st Division (Promotion Group )
Hillerod is Qualified for 1st Division (Promotion Group )
Hobro is 1st Division (Relegation Group )
Koge is 1st Division (Relegation Group )
Middelfart is 1st Division (Relegation Group )
