Lugo vs Real Avilés – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Lugo - Real Avilés
Result
0:0
06/09/2025 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
84
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
123
Yellow Cards
41
Total shots
84
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
51
Corner Kicks
123
Goalkeeper Saves
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 42', Lopez I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Lopez I. , Merino J. ,
  • 46', Junior L. , Samanes S. ,
  • 56', Samanes S. 🟨,
  • 66', Balboa A. , Gonzalez J. ,
  • 66', Pastrana V. , Presa K. ,
  • 70', Hernandez R. , Isi Ros ,
  • 72', 🟨,
  • 77', Cayarga B. , Alvarez P. ,
  • 77', Celorio N. , Alba T. ,
  • 80', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
  • 82', Santamaria A. , Poquet N. ,
  • 82', Gete A. , Granero B. ,
  • 90+6', Unzueta I. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lugo
56.3%
Draw
26.5%
Real Avilés
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 30% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 29.1% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lugo's performance.
  • Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Avilés might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-14.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lugo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Avilés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lugo - Real Avilés Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (2.28)
    3.51
    (3.05)
    5.4
    (3.06)
    8.3%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Lugo - Real Avilés?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lugo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Lugo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Real Avilés's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Real Avilés may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Lugo has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Lugo is the team to beat.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lugo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - Real Avilés were as follows:
    19.08.2023 Real Avilés - Lugo 1:0
    Latest results of Lugo
    21.08.2025 UD Ourense - Lugo 0:1
    13.08.2025 Ponferradina - Lugo 3:2
    09.08.2025 Lugo - Leonesa 1:0
    02.08.2025 Sarriana - Lugo 0:0
    Latest results of Real Avilés
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife660016:21418
    2Celta Vigo B641110:4613
    3Racing Club Ferrol63217:5211
    4Guadalajara63129:7210
    5Real Aviles631211:11010
    6Pontevedra63126:6010
    7Zamora62316:429
    8Ath Bilbao B62315:419
    9Osasuna B62313:309
    10Arenteiro62226:518
    11CF Talavera62227:708
    12Barakaldo61416:607
    13Lugo62134:5-17
    14Arenas Getxo62137:11-47
    15Cacereno61326:8-26
    16Real Madrid B62046:9-36
    17Merida AD62047:12-56
    18Ponferradina61147:9-24
    19Ourense CF60334:9-53
    20Unionistas61054:10-63

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