Result
03/05/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 35
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Chances of winning
Mérida AD
44.8% | Draw
28.6% | Lugo
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Mérida AD - Lugo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↑
(1.98) |
3.17 ↓
(3.26) |
3.41 ↓
(3.53) |
10%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 12).
- Recent performances by Mérida AD have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lugo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Mérida AD could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mérida AD won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Mérida AD won against Lugo?
Mérida AD has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against Mérida AD?
Lugo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mérida AD - Lugo were as follows:
03.01.2026
Lugo
-
Mérida AD
1:0
Latest results of Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 35 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 73 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 56:44 | 12 | 61 |
| 3 | Zamora | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 58 |
| 4 | Real Madrid B | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 35 | 13 | 15 | 7 | 43:26 | 17 | 54 |
| 6 | Ponferradina | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 38:32 | 6 | 51 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 44:36 | 8 | 51 |
| 8 | Unionistas | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 47:45 | 2 | 49 |
| 9 | AD Merida | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:47 | -3 | 48 |
| 10 | Racing Club Ferrol | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 47 |
| 11 | Arenas Getxo | 35 | 14 | 5 | 16 | 41:51 | -10 | 47 |
| 12 | Lugo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 46 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao B | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:38 | -4 | 45 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 51:58 | -7 | 43 |
| 15 | CF Talavera | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 35:44 | -9 | 39 |
| 16 | Ourense CF | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38:40 | -2 | 38 |
| 17 | Guadalajara | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 39:54 | -15 | 37 |
| 18 | Osasuna B | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 25:39 | -14 | 36 |
| 19 | Cacereno | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 31:45 | -14 | 35 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 29:46 | -17 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
