Result
2:0
27/01/2024 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 23
- Referee: Burda M. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Germany | Magenta Sport |
Chances of winning
Erzgebirge Aue 48.4% | Draw 26.1% | Lübeck 25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Lübeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Erzgebirge Aue - Lübeck Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.92 ↑ (1.78) |
3.56 ↓ (3.65) |
3.63 ↓ (3.99) |
7.7% (8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - Lübeck?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aue: 23.8% – 76.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Aue is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Lübeck is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Aue could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Aue have a series of guest games.
- Aue will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Aue won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Erzgebirge Aue won against Lübeck?
Erzgebirge Aue has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lübeck won against Erzgebirge Aue?
Lübeck has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - Lübeck were as follows:
26.08.2023
Lübeck
-
Erzgebirge Aue
1:1
Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck ✔ | 36 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 61:30 | 31 | 76 |
| 2 | Cottbus | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 69:50 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Duisburg | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 65:48 | 17 | 66 |
| 4 | RW Essen | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 74:64 | 10 | 64 |
| 5 | Verl | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 79:47 | 32 | 61 |
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 36 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 65:43 | 22 | 61 |
| 7 | Alemannia Aachen | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 67:56 | 11 | 58 |
| 8 | Munich 1860 | 36 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 53:48 | 5 | 56 |
| 9 | Wehen | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 51:50 | 1 | 50 |
| 10 | Viktoria Koln | 36 | 15 | 5 | 16 | 50:49 | 1 | 50 |
| 11 | Regensburg | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 54:56 | -2 | 49 |
| 12 | Mannheim | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 57:67 | -10 | 49 |
| 13 | Stuttgart II | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 51:60 | -9 | 46 |
| 14 | Saarbrucken | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 15 | Ingolstadt | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 58:54 | 4 | 43 |
| 16 | Hoffenheim II | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 62:67 | -5 | 40 |
| 17 | TSV Havelse ✔ | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 53:81 | -28 | 32 |
| 18 | Ulm ✔ | 36 | 9 | 5 | 22 | 46:74 | -28 | 32 |
| 19 | Aue ✔ | 36 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 47:68 | -21 | 30 |
| 20 | Schweinfurt ✔ | 36 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 34:80 | -46 | 21 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
VfL Osnabruck is Qualified for 2. Bundesliga
TSV Havelse is Relegated to
Ulm is Relegated to
Aue is Relegated to
Schweinfurt is Relegated to