Waldhof Mannheim vs Erzgebirge Aue – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
21/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 30
  • Referee: Schulz T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport, MDR Fernsehen, SWR Fernsehen, tv.dfb.de
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
52
Corner kicks
45
Yellow cards
03
Total shots
148
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
96
Corner kicks
45
Offsides
03
Free kicks
1510
Throw ins
1622
Fouls
1012

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 44', 0 - 1, Stefaniak M. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Asallari K. , Bierschenk L. ,
  • 50', 1 - 1, Bierschenk L. ,
  • 56', Thill V. , Rieckmann J. ,
  • 77', Ehlers J. 🟨,
  • 78', Simnica L. 🟨,
  • 79', Gunther-Schmidt J. , Guttau J. ,
  • 85', Bar M. , Ocansey V. A. F. ,
  • 90', 2 - 1, Boyd T. , Hoffmann N. (A),
  • 90', Mannel M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Uhlmann E. , Bornschein R. ,
  • 90+4', Michel D. , Thalhammer M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Waldhof Mannheim
44%
Draw
25.6%
Erzgebirge Aue
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.8% 24.9% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3% 22.4% 32.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Waldhof Mannheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waldhof Mannheim than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Waldhof Mannheim - Erzgebirge Aue Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.03)
    3.63
    (3.73)
    3.05
    (3.17)
    7.9%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Waldhof Mannheim - Erzgebirge Aue?
  • Users Predictions: Waldhof Mannheim will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waldhof won 4.
    • Recent performances by Waldhof have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Aue has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Waldhof might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Waldhof won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 1.5:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Waldhof won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 2.3:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Waldhof Mannheim - Erzgebirge Aue were as follows:
    17.10.2025 Erzgebirge Aue - Waldhof Mannheim 0:2
    18.10.2024 Waldhof Mannheim - Erzgebirge Aue 3:0
    18.05.2024 Erzgebirge Aue - Waldhof Mannheim 2:0
    16.12.2023 Waldhof Mannheim - Erzgebirge Aue 3:0
    10.02.2023 Erzgebirge Aue - Waldhof Mannheim 2:1
    Latest results of Waldhof Mannheim
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1VfL Osnabruck ✔ 36237661:303176
    2Cottbus36199869:501966
    3Duisburg36199865:481766
    4RW Essen361810874:641064
    5Verl361710979:473261
    6Hansa Rostock361613765:432261
    7Alemannia Aachen361771267:561158
    8Munich 18603615111053:48556
    9Wehen361481451:50150
    10Viktoria Koln361551650:49150
    11Regensburg361471554:56-249
    12Mannheim361471557:67-1049
    13Stuttgart II361371651:60-946
    14Saarbrucken3610141246:50-444
    15Ingolstadt3611101558:54443
    16Hoffenheim II361171862:67-540
    17TSV Havelse ✔ 36882053:81-2832
    18Ulm ✔ 36952246:74-2832
    19Aue ✔ 366121847:68-2130
    20Schweinfurt ✔ 36562534:80-4621

          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    VfL Osnabruck is Qualified for 2. Bundesliga
    TSV Havelse is Relegated to
    Ulm is Relegated to
    Aue is Relegated to
    Schweinfurt is Relegated to