Waldhof Mannheim vs Erzgebirge Aue – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
21/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 30
  • Referee: Schulz T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport, MDR Fernsehen, SWR Fernsehen, tv.dfb.de
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
52
Corner kicks
45
Yellow cards
03
Total shots
148
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
96
Corner kicks
45
Offsides
03
Free kicks
1510
Throw ins
1622
Fouls
1012

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 44', 0 - 1, Stefaniak M. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Asallari K. , Bierschenk L. ,
  • 50', 1 - 1, Bierschenk L. ,
  • 56', Thill V. , Rieckmann J. ,
  • 77', Ehlers J. 🟨,
  • 78', Simnica L. 🟨,
  • 79', Gunther-Schmidt J. , Guttau J. ,
  • 85', Bar M. , Ocansey V. A. F. ,
  • 90', 2 - 1, Boyd T. , Hoffmann N. (A),
  • 90', Mannel M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Uhlmann E. , Bornschein R. ,
  • 90+4', Michel D. , Thalhammer M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Waldhof Mannheim
44%
Draw
25.6%
Erzgebirge Aue
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.8% 24.9% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3% 22.4% 32.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Waldhof Mannheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waldhof Mannheim than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Waldhof Mannheim - Erzgebirge Aue Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.03)
    3.63
    (3.73)
    3.05
    (3.17)
    7.9%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Waldhof Mannheim - Erzgebirge Aue?
  • Users Predictions: Waldhof Mannheim will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waldhof won 4.
    • Recent performances by Waldhof have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Aue has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Waldhof might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Waldhof won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 1.5:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Waldhof won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 2.3:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Waldhof Mannheim - Erzgebirge Aue were as follows:
    17.10.2025 Erzgebirge Aue - Waldhof Mannheim 0:2
    18.10.2024 Waldhof Mannheim - Erzgebirge Aue 3:0
    18.05.2024 Erzgebirge Aue - Waldhof Mannheim 2:0
    16.12.2023 Waldhof Mannheim - Erzgebirge Aue 3:0
    10.02.2023 Erzgebirge Aue - Waldhof Mannheim 2:1
    Latest results of Waldhof Mannheim
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1VfL Osnabruck33207655:272867
    2RW Essen331810569:511864
    3Cottbus33179761:451660
    4Duisburg33179759:431660
    5Hansa Rostock331611662:372559
    6Verl331510872:452755
    7Alemannia Aachen331561260:53751
    8Munich 1860331491049:45451
    9Wehen331461344:42248
    10Viktoria Koln331451448:45347
    11Mannheim331451452:60-847
    12Regensburg331271446:50-443
    13Stuttgart II331261541:54-1342
    14Ingolstadt3310101352:48440
    15Hoffenheim II331171560:59140
    16Saarbrucken338131242:49-737
    17TSV Havelse33781849:73-2429
    18Ulm33852042:68-2629
    19Aue335101838:61-2325
    20Schweinfurt ✔ 33532531:77-4618

          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Schweinfurt is Relegated to