Result
1:0
30/01/2026 at 08:50 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Hong-kong | on.cc |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 2.04 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (411/472) | 76% (198/259) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 2.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (411/472) | 76% (198/259) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (18/46) | 44% (20/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (76/112) | 60% (50/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (8/18) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.90 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.31 | 2.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Al Rubaie S. 🟨,
- 20', Narey K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 31', Asiri N. 🟨,
- 35', Sembene M. 🟨,
- 41', Sembene M. ↓, Al Alaeli M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Asiri N. ↓, Pedroza J. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 0, Al Qahtani M. ⚽,
- 78', Zambrano C. ↓, Al Aqel M. S. M. ↑,
- 79', Hawsawi G. ↓, Al Salem A. ↑,
- 80', Nguen T. ↓, Al Abbas S. ↑,
- 83', Martinez Tobinson R. B. 🟨,
- 85', Al Qahtani M. ↓, Hawsawi A. ↑,
- 86', Bahusayn A. ↓, Al Marwani A. ↑,
- 86', Ashi I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Taawoun
59.4% | Draw
23.8% | Al Akhdoud
16.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Taawoun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Al Akhdoud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Taawoun than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Taawoun, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Al-Taawoun - Al Akhdoud Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↑
(1.49) |
3.9 ↓
(4.26) |
5.55 ↓
(6.1) |
8.4%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Al-Taawoun - Al Akhdoud?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Al-Taawoun will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Taawoun: 76.1% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- In recent matches, Al-Taawoun has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Al Akhdoud's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Al-Taawoun is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Taawoun won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Taawoun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Taawoun won against Al Akhdoud?
Al-Taawoun has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Akhdoud won against Al-Taawoun?
Al Akhdoud has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Taawoun - Al Akhdoud were as follows:
13.09.2025
Al Akhdoud
-
Al-Taawoun
2:3
11.04.2025
Al Akhdoud
-
Al-Taawoun
1:1
09.11.2024
Al-Taawoun
-
Al Akhdoud
1:0
23.02.2024
Al-Taawoun
-
Al Akhdoud
3:1
29.08.2023
Al Akhdoud
-
Al-Taawoun
0:1
Latest results of Al-Taawoun
Latest results of Al Akhdoud
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr ✔ | 31 | 26 | 1 | 4 | 82:24 | 58 | 79 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 30 | 22 | 8 | 0 | 79:25 | 54 | 74 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 30 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 59:22 | 37 | 69 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 31 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 74:32 | 42 | 68 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 57:41 | 16 | 52 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 48 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 44:51 | -7 | 45 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 40:44 | -4 | 41 |
| 9 | Al Hazem | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34:53 | -19 | 38 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:48 | 3 | 37 |
| 11 | Al Fayha | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 36:46 | -10 | 35 |
| 12 | Al Fateh | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 38:51 | -13 | 33 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 38:48 | -10 | 32 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 39:58 | -19 | 30 |
| 15 | Damac | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 27:49 | -22 | 26 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 24:68 | -44 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma ✔ | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 29:72 | -43 | 11 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Clinched Spots for Teams
Al Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
Al Najma is Relegated to Division 1
