Result
1:3
21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 44
- Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 3.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 30 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (163/249) | 77% (227/295) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 3.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 2.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 30 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 21 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 41 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (163/249) | 77% (227/295) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (21/63) | 54% (34/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (44/79) | 71% (100/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/21) | 29% (6/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.80 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 71 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 29 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.39 | 0.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.61 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 3', 0 - 1, Ashley O. ⚽,
- 41', 0 - 2, Stockton C. ⚽, Woodburn B. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Mnoga H. ↓, Longelo-Mbule R. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 2, Songo'o Y. ⚽,
- 59', Lewis A. 🟨,
- 66', Dallas A. ↓, Slew J. ↑,
- 66', Songo'o Y. 🟨,
- 67', White T. 🟨,
- 76', Lewis P. ↓, Hope H. ↑,
- 83', Tollitt B. ↓, Fairclough A. ↑,
- 83', Angol L. ↓, Whaite B. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 3, N'Mai K. ⚽, Adelakun H. (A),
- 89', Adelakun H. ↓, Edwards T. ↑,
- 90', Woodburn B. ↓, Lund M. ↑,
- 90+3', Fairclough A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Ashley O. ↓, Watson R. ↑,
- 90+4', Stockton C. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Morecambe
27.1% | Draw
26.8% | Salford City
46% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Salford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Salford City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Morecambe - Salford City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.46 ↑
(3) |
3.5 ↑
(3.32) |
2.05 ↓
(2.32) |
6.3%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Morecambe - Salford City?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Morecambe will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Salford will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salford: 41.6% – 98.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Salford (1.26) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Salford (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Salford City will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Morecambe (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Salford (votes: 8 - 88.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 10).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 2.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Morecambe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Salford will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Morecambe: Edwards G.
(Injury)
Hendrie L.
(Inactive)
Macadam H.
(Inactive)
Moore S.
(Injury)
Ray G.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Tutonda D.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Salford: Chesters D.
(Knee Injury)
Kouassi K.
(Injury)
McAleny C.
(Injury)
Negru S.
(Inactive)
Okoronkwo F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Morecambe: Millen R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Salford: Shephard L.
(Injury)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:11 (average 1:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Morecambe won against Salford City?
Morecambe has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Salford City won against Morecambe?
Salford City has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Morecambe - Salford City were as follows:
29.12.2024
Salford City
-
Morecambe
1:0
17.03.2024
Salford City
-
Morecambe
3:1
02.09.2023
Morecambe
-
Salford City
1:0
Latest results of Morecambe
Latest results of Salford City
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 39 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 62:36 | 26 | 79 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 39 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 76:40 | 36 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 72 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 65:39 | 26 | 70 |
| 5 | Swindon | 39 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 63:45 | 18 | 69 |
| 6 | Salford | 39 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 54:48 | 6 | 67 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 56:40 | 16 | 62 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 61:52 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Crewe | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 58:47 | 11 | 60 |
| 10 | Walsall | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 48:41 | 7 | 60 |
| 11 | Oldham | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
| 12 | Barnet | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 49:43 | 6 | 57 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 54 |
| 14 | Colchester | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 50:41 | 9 | 53 |
| 15 | Accrington | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 38:42 | -4 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44:56 | -12 | 45 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 40:60 | -20 | 43 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 42 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 37:63 | -26 | 41 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 48:69 | -21 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 39 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 36:60 | -24 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 39 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 39:67 | -28 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 39 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 29:58 | -29 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 36:63 | -27 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
