Result
1:0
23/11/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 14
- Referee: Hasova G. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (286/337) | 87% (390/449) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 40 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (286/337) | 87% (390/449) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (13/38) | 75% (39/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (65/92) | 78% (128/164) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 42% (11/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 81% (17/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.08 | 1.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.96 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', Mohammed M. 🟨,
- 11', Mohammed M. 🟨,
- 23', Yilmaz Y. 🟨,
- 25', Yilmaz Y. 🟨,
- 32', Habesoglu A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Habesoglu A. ↓, Dimitrov Z. ↑,
- 59', Sertkaya Y. ↓, Aslan A. ↑,
- 66', Babacan A. ↓, Ozdemir T. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 0, Ozdemir T. ⚽,
- 74', Brazao P. ↓, Bayrakdar G. ↑,
- 77', Kosoko T. ↓, Bardhi J. ↑,
- 79', Imeri O. 🟨,
- 86', Imeri O. ↓, Okita J. ↑,
- 89', Celik B. ↓, Kanpalta O. ↑,
- 89', Ekincier B. ↓, Sas Y. D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Umraniyespor
12% | Draw
20.5% | Bodrumspor
67.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Bodrumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Umraniyespor - Bodrumspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.61 ↑
(6.92) |
4.57 ↑
(4.28) |
1.38 ↓
(1.41) |
7.6%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Umraniyespor - Bodrumspor?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Umraniyespor will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Bodrumspor will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bodrumspor: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bodrumspor will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).
- Umraniyespor is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bodrumspor is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Bodrumspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Bodrumspor is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Umraniyespor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).
- Including home match between the teams, Umraniyespor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Umraniyespor won against Bodrumspor?
Umraniyespor has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bodrumspor won against Umraniyespor?
Bodrumspor has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Umraniyespor - Bodrumspor were as follows:
03.02.2024
Umraniyespor
-
Bodrumspor
1:2
03.09.2023
Bodrumspor
-
Umraniyespor
4:0
Latest results of Umraniyespor
Latest results of Bodrumspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 74:23 | 51 | 69 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 68:32 | 36 | 67 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 73:30 | 43 | 63 |
| 4 | Corum | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 53:34 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 67:35 | 32 | 57 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 54 |
| 7 | Bandirmaspor | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 42:33 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 63:40 | 23 | 47 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 47 |
| 10 | Igdir FK | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 40:44 | -4 | 45 |
| 11 | Vanspor FK | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:35 | 7 | 43 |
| 12 | Manisa FK | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 46:52 | -6 | 43 |
| 13 | Boluspor | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 50:44 | 6 | 42 |
| 14 | Umraniyespor | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 38:41 | -3 | 39 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 34:41 | -7 | 39 |
| 16 | Istanbulspor AS | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 39 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 38:60 | -22 | 35 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 41:56 | -15 | 32 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 32 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 22:88 | -66 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 32 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 17:141 | -124 | -57 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
