Result
2:1
26/12/2025 at 08:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (185/281) | 77% (260/337) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 2.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 48 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (185/281) | 77% (260/337) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (25/73) | 55% (27/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 45% (32/71) | 70% (105/150) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 17% (6/35) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.03 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 52 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.28 | 1.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.28 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Atangana V. ⚽, Ibanez (A),
- 36', Majrashi A. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 1, Vargas M. ⚽, Saadane M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Al Swealem A. ↓, Al Fawaz A. ↑,
- 46', Al Anazi A. ↓, Bendebka S. ↑,
- 47', 2 - 1, Vargas M. ⚽, Batna M. (A),
- 49', Millot E. 🟨,
- 69', Wesley Delgado 🟨,
- 75', Wesley Delgado ↓, Al Sarnoukh M. ↑,
- 79', Millot E. ↓, Abu Al Shamat S. ↑,
- 79', Majrashi A. ↓, Abdulrahman M. ↑,
- 85', Abu Al Shamat S. 🟨,
- 86', Galeno ↓, Al Hawsawi Z. ↑,
- 90', Masoud N. ↓, Al Sahihi M. ↑,
- 90+4', Vargas M. ↓, Al Zubaidi F. ↑,
- 90+7', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al Fateh
19% | Draw
21.7% | Al-Ahli Jeddah
59.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Fateh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Al-Ahli Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Fateh than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Al Fateh - Al-Ahli Jeddah Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.86 ↓
(4.98) |
4.32 ↓
(4.61) |
1.55 ↑
(1.53) |
8.1%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Al Fateh - Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Al-Ahli will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ahli: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Fateh won 2.
- Al Fateh is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Al-Ahli is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Al Fateh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Al-Ahli is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al Fateh won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 19:37. (average 1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al Fateh won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Al Fateh won against Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Al Fateh has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Jeddah won against Al Fateh?
Al-Ahli Jeddah has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Fateh - Al-Ahli Jeddah were as follows:
07.02.2025
Al-Ahli Jeddah
-
Al Fateh
2:0
27.08.2024
Al Fateh
-
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1:0
02.03.2024
Al-Ahli Jeddah
-
Al Fateh
1:1
02.09.2023
Al Fateh
-
Al-Ahli Jeddah
5:1
Latest results of Al Fateh
Latest results of Al-Ahli Jeddah
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr | 24 | 20 | 1 | 3 | 65:19 | 46 | 61 |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 46:15 | 31 | 59 |
| 3 | Al Hilal | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 62:23 | 39 | 58 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 55:22 | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | Al Ittihad | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 39:28 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Al Taawon | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42:29 | 13 | 41 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 35:42 | -7 | 38 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 29:33 | -4 | 32 |
| 9 | Al Fateh | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 32:43 | -11 | 28 |
| 10 | Al Hazem | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 26:44 | -18 | 28 |
| 11 | Al Khaleej | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 42:38 | 4 | 27 |
| 12 | Al Fayha | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 28:41 | -13 | 27 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 30:38 | -8 | 25 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 24 | 8 | 1 | 15 | 32:42 | -10 | 25 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22:45 | -23 | 16 |
| 16 | Damac | 24 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 18:41 | -23 | 16 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22:50 | -28 | 13 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 24 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 22:54 | -32 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
