Result
3:2
13/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SupeSport ESPN 1, ZAP |
 Angola | Z Sports 1 |
 Asia | JACO Middle East, SPOTV 2 Asia, SPOTV Asia |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | BandSports, Canal GOAT |
 Croatia | SportKlub 8 |
 Czech-republic | Strike, Strike |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hungary | Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | SPOTV 2, SPOTV, Vidio |
 Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Malaysia | Astro Go |
 Mexico | FOX One, Fox Sports |
 Mongolia | SPOTV 2, SPOTV |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Philippines | SPOTV 2, SPOTV |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | Prima Sport 5 |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
 Singapore | SPOTV 2 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
 South-korea | SPOTV |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | SPOTV 2, SPOTV, True ID, True Premier Football 4 |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tabii Spor 1, Tabii |
 Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox |
 Vietnam | SPOTV 2, SPOTV |
 World | Onefootball, Sport 24 Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.80 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (376/448) | 66% (170/256) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 3.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (376/448) | 66% (170/256) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (16/40) | 39% (28/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (78/104) | 35% (23/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.90 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (7/7) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.31 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.31 | -2.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 27', 0 - 1, Toney I. ⚽,
- 28', Toney I. 🟨,
- 32', Al Ahmad W. 🟨,
- 38', Al Ahmad W. ↓, Thakri J. ↑,
- 42', 0 - 2, Atangana V. ⚽, Galeno (A),
- 44', Weigl J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Thakri J. 🟨,
- 59', Atangana V. 🟨,
- 63', 1 - 2, Al Juwayr M. ⚽, Bonsu Baah C. (A),
- 67', Kessie F. 🟨,
- 71', Ibanez 🟨,
- 71', Abu Al Shamat M. ↓, Al Ammar T. ↑,
- 76', Thakri J. ↓, Mahnashi I. ↑,
- 79', Mahrez R. ↓, Abu Al Shamat S. ↑,
- 86', Majrashi A. ↓, Sulaiman M. ↑,
- 90+2', Atangana V. ↓, Al Muwallad E. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 2, Al Ammar T. ⚽, Bonsu Baah C. (A),
- 90+8', Al Johani Z. 🟨,
- 90+8', 3 - 2, Mahnashi I. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Al-Qadisiya
39.4% | Draw
27.3% | Al-Ahli Jeddah
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Qadisiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Al-Ahli Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Qadisiya than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Al-Qadisiya - Al-Ahli Jeddah Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↓
(2.57) |
3.42 ↑
(3.32) |
2.82 ↑
(2.62) |
6.8%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Al-Qadisiya - Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Al-Qadisiya will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Al-Ahli will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH 0 - Al-Qadisiya (1.69) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Qadisiya (votes: 1 - 25%). Al-Ahli (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Qadisiya won 1.
- Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.
- Al-Ahli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Al-Qadisiya won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:18. (average 1:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Qadisiya won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Qadisiya won against Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Al-Qadisiya has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Jeddah won against Al-Qadisiya?
Al-Ahli Jeddah has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Qadisiya - Al-Ahli Jeddah were as follows:
28.11.2025
Al-Ahli Jeddah
-
Al-Qadisiya
4:3
21.11.2025
Al-Ahli Jeddah
-
Al-Qadisiya
2:1
20.08.2025
Al-Qadisiya
-
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1:5
25.02.2025
Al-Ahli Jeddah
-
Al-Qadisiya
4:1
27.09.2024
Al-Qadisiya
-
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1:0
Latest results of Al-Qadisiya
Latest results of Al-Ahli Jeddah
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr ✔ | 30 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 81:21 | 60 | 79 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 29 | 21 | 8 | 0 | 76:25 | 51 | 71 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 55:22 | 33 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 71:31 | 40 | 65 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 52:40 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 48 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 44:51 | -7 | 45 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:42 | -4 | 40 |
| 9 | Al Hazem | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 49:48 | 1 | 34 |
| 11 | Al Fayha | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 35:45 | -10 | 34 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 37:43 | -6 | 32 |
| 13 | Al Fateh | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 36:49 | -13 | 32 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 29 | 9 | 2 | 18 | 38:57 | -19 | 29 |
| 15 | Damac | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 27:47 | -20 | 26 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24:64 | -40 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma ✔ | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 29:72 | -43 | 11 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Clinched Spots for Teams
Al Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
Al Najma is Relegated to Division 1
