Result
2:0
09/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 14
- Referee: Mammadov I. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', Nabiyev F. 🟨,
- 36', Seyidov S. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Diniyev C. ⚽,
- 40', Wanderson 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 64', 2 - 0, Andrade P. ⚽,
- 68', Nabiyev F. ↓, Abilov E. ↑,
- 68', Gomes P. ↓, Jefferson Maciel ↑,
- 69', Seyidov S. ↓, Samadov A. ↑,
- 69', Ohori R. ↓, Asurov S. ↑,
- 74', Wanderson ↓, Ahmadzada M. ↑,
- 74', Alxasov ↓, Bruno Franco ↑,
- 80', Diniyev C. ↓, Cohen B. ↑,
- 83', 🟨,
- 84', Fofana A. ↓, Kalantarov F. ↑,
- 85', Ramon Machado ↓, Isgandarov U. ↑,
- 85', Andrade P. ↓, Qarayev Q. ↑,
Chances of winning
Araz Naxçıvan
58% | Draw
25.1% | Kapaz
16.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Araz Naxçıvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Kapaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Araz Naxçıvan than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Araz Naxçıvan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kapaz than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Araz Naxçıvan - Kapaz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↑
(1.51) |
3.65 ↓
(4.02) |
5.43 ↓
(5.68) |
9%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Araz Naxçıvan - Kapaz?
Users Predictions:
Araz Naxçıvan will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Araz Naxçıvan will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Araz won 2.
- Araz is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Kapaz's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Araz is a strong favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Araz won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Araz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Araz Naxçıvan won against Kapaz?
Araz Naxçıvan has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kapaz won against Araz Naxçıvan?
Kapaz has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Araz Naxçıvan - Kapaz were as follows:
04.12.2025
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Kapaz
0:1
12.09.2025
Kapaz
-
Araz Naxçıvan
0:2
13.04.2025
Kapaz
-
Araz Naxçıvan
0:0
10.02.2025
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Kapaz
0:0
22.11.2024
Kapaz
-
Araz Naxçıvan
0:2
Latest results of Araz Naxçıvan
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 25 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 60:17 | 43 | 62 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 48:18 | 30 | 52 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 32:17 | 15 | 48 |
| 4 | Zira | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 33:27 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Araz | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 34:43 | -9 | 39 |
| 6 | Neftci Baku | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 39:22 | 17 | 37 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 32 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 30 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 18:36 | -18 | 22 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 21:48 | -27 | 21 |
| 11 | Gabala | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 23:42 | -19 | 16 |
| 12 | Karvan | 25 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 16:49 | -33 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
