Result
0:3
17/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 28
- Referee: Jabarov R. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Guseynov A. ↓, Wadji I. ↑,
- 46', Wadji I. 🟨,
- 52', Jo Batista 🟨,
- 62', Diniyev C. ↓, Andrade P. ↑,
- 62', Keyta H. ↓, Boli C. ↑,
- 71', 0 - 1, Wadji I. ⚽,
- 75', Alxasov ↓, Abbasov U. ↑,
- 78', Ahmadzada M. ↓, Simakala B. ↑,
- 82', 0 - 2, Jo Batista ⚽,
- 84', Hasanalizada B. 🟨,
- 87', Hackman E. 🟨,
- 89', Sadykhov R. ↓, Tavares D. ↑,
- 89', Nacafov K. ↓, Yusifli F. ↑,
- 90+2', 0 - 3, Jo Batista ⚽,
- 90+3', Santos F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Araz Naxçıvan
26.4% | Draw
29.3% | Turan Tovuz
44.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Araz Naxçıvan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Turan Tovuz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Araz Naxçıvan than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Turan Tovuz than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Araz Naxçıvan - Turan Tovuz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.49 ↓
(3.65) |
3.15 ↓
(3.48) |
2.08 ↑
(1.87) |
8.5%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Araz Naxçıvan - Turan Tovuz?
Users Predictions:
Turan Tovuz will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium - Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Araz won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Turan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Turan might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Araz won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Araz won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Araz Naxçıvan won against Turan Tovuz?
Araz Naxçıvan has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Turan Tovuz won against Araz Naxçıvan?
Turan Tovuz has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Araz Naxçıvan - Turan Tovuz were as follows:
22.11.2025
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Turan Tovuz
1:1
24.08.2025
Turan Tovuz
-
Araz Naxçıvan
1:2
18.04.2025
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Turan Tovuz
1:1
16.02.2025
Turan Tovuz
-
Araz Naxçıvan
1:0
29.11.2024
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Turan Tovuz
1:0
Latest results of Araz Naxçıvan
Latest results of Turan Tovuz
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 69:21 | 48 | 72 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 61:22 | 39 | 59 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 39:20 | 19 | 56 |
| 4 | Neftci Baku | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 48:31 | 17 | 47 |
| 5 | Zira | 29 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 38:32 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Araz | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:54 | -16 | 40 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 39:42 | -3 | 38 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 27:29 | -2 | 35 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 22:39 | -17 | 32 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 30 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 24:58 | -34 | 24 |
| 11 | Gabala | 29 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 26:45 | -19 | 20 |
| 12 | Karvan | 29 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 21:59 | -38 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
