Result
1:1
25/04/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 29
- Referee: Umudlu K. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Sierra J. 🟨,
- 45', Musayev M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Diniyev C. ↓, Andrade P. ↑,
- 61', Boli C. ↓, Keyta H. ↑,
- 61', Ramon Machado ↓, Simakala B. ↑,
- 61', Santos F. ↓, Isgandarov U. ↑,
- 63', Avram C. 🟨,
- 76', 1 - 0, Buludov O. (Own goal),
- 83', 1 - 1, Paro I. ⚽,
- 87', Aliyev N. ↓, Rashidov N. ↑,
- 90+3', Owusu P. ↓, Iskandarov F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gabala
41.8% | Draw
28% | Araz Naxçıvan
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gabala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Araz Naxçıvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabala than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Araz Naxçıvan than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Gabala - Araz Naxçıvan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↓
(2.3) |
3.27 ↑
(3.25) |
3.03 ↑
(2.85) |
9.2%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gabala - Araz Naxçıvan?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Gabala will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Araz will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gabala won 3.
- Gabala is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Araz has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Araz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Gabala might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Gabala won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gabala won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 2.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Gabala won against Araz Naxçıvan?
Gabala has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Araz Naxçıvan won against Gabala?
Araz Naxçıvan has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gabala - Araz Naxçıvan were as follows:
30.11.2025
Gabala
-
Araz Naxçıvan
2:1
30.08.2025
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Gabala
2:1
19.05.2024
Gabala
-
Araz Naxçıvan
2:0
16.03.2024
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Gabala
1:1
09.02.2024
Gabala
-
Araz Naxçıvan
2:0
Latest results of Araz Naxçıvan
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 69:21 | 48 | 72 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 61:22 | 39 | 59 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 39:20 | 19 | 56 |
| 4 | Neftci Baku | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 48:31 | 17 | 47 |
| 5 | Zira | 29 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 38:32 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Araz | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:54 | -16 | 40 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 39:42 | -3 | 38 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 27:29 | -2 | 35 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 22:39 | -17 | 32 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 30 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 24:58 | -34 | 24 |
| 11 | Gabala | 29 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 26:45 | -19 | 20 |
| 12 | Karvan | 29 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 21:59 | -38 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
